AI Forecasting & Risk Analyst — Contract (20–30h/wk)

Mercor; Manchester; Hybrid; GBP 80,000 - 100,000; Part time

Job summary

A leading AI research organization in Manchester seeks an Internal Human Super-Forecaster to work closely with AI teams generating and validating forecasts. Candidates should possess an advanced degree or considerable experience in relevant fields and a proven track record in probabilistic forecasting. Strong analytical skills and proficiency in Python, R, or Excel are essential for success. This contract position offers competitive hourly compensation based on experience and commitment levels.

Qualifications

• Advanced degree or extensive experience in Forecasting or related field.
• Proven track record of high-quality probabilistic forecasts.
• Strong competency in calibration and structured judgment techniques.

Responsibilities

• Work with AI teams to generate and validate forecasts.
• Enhance forecasting accuracy through quantitative techniques.
• Evaluate AI forecasts for alignment with human judgment.

Skills

Probabilistic reasoning

Quantitative techniques

Data visualization

Analytical reasoning

Communication skills

Education

Advanced degree in relevant field

Tools

Python

R

Excel

Job description

A leading AI research organization in Manchester seeks an Internal Human Super-Forecaster to work closely with AI teams generating and validating forecasts. Candidates should possess an advanced degree or considerable experience in relevant fields and a proven track record in probabilistic forecasting. Strong analytical skills and proficiency in Python, R, or Excel are essential for success. This contract position offers competitive hourly compensation based on experience and commitment levels.