State Political Risk & Forecasting Specialist

Mercor; United States; À distance; USD 70 000 - 120 000; Plein temps

Résumé du poste

Mercor is building expert-authored forecasting and research data to evaluate and improve AI models on real political and financial analysis. This role focuses on elections, polling, and political-risk events in the United States.

The candidate will author point-in-time political reports, judge polling and odds, explain causal mechanisms behind events, and review model analyses for accuracy and consistency.

Qualifications

• Typically 8+ years of direct experience on US races.

Responsabilités

• Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff.
• Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds.
• Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact.
• Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard.

Connaissances

Local politics

Swing state experience

Polling literacy

Forecasting judgment

Causal analysis

Odds assessment

Description du poste

Mercor is building expert-authored forecasting and research data to evaluate and improve AI models on real political and financial analysis. This role focuses on elections, polling, and political-risk events in the United States.

The candidate will author point-in-time political reports, judge polling and odds, explain causal mechanisms behind events, and review model analyses for accuracy and consistency.