Local Elections Forecasting & Risk Analyst

Mercor; United States; A distancia; USD 120.000 - 160.000; Jornada completa

Descripción de la vacante

Mercor in the United States is seeking a senior political analyst to author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a fixed evidence cutoff. You will make directional judgments about polling and market-implied odds, explain causal mechanisms behind events, and review model analyses against your own standards.

The role requires deep knowledge of US races, swing states, and local politics, with hands-on experience in polling, electoral forecasting, and probabilistic reasoning.

Formación

• Experience authoring timely political reports and forecasts.
• Ability to judge polling and odds without hindsight.
• Strong knowledge of US political landscape and swing states.

Responsabilidades

• Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts.
• Make directional judgments about polling and market odds.
• Explain causal mechanisms behind events and review model analyses.

Conocimientos

Polling literacy

Forecasting

Probabilistic reasoning

Data interpretation

Educación

Political science degree

Herramientas

Statistical software

Descripción del empleo

Mercor in the United States is seeking a senior political analyst to author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a fixed evidence cutoff. You will make directional judgments about polling and market-implied odds, explain causal mechanisms behind events, and review model analyses against your own standards.

The role requires deep knowledge of US races, swing states, and local politics, with hands-on experience in polling, electoral forecasting, and probabilistic reasoning.