Political Risk Forecaster & AI Training Analyst

Mercor; Boston (MA); Sur place; USD 90 000 - 130 000; Plein temps

Résumé du poste

Mercor is seeking a local political analyst to craft point-in-time political reports and forecasts anchored to a fixed evidence cutoff. You will judge polling directions, win probabilities, and market-implied odds, then explain how events may impact political and financial outcomes.

You will review model analyses and benchmark them against your standards. The role emphasizes on-the-ground knowledge of US races in swing states, with strong experience in forecasting and probabilistic judgment.

Qualifications

• 8+ years of direct experience in political analysis or equivalent
• On-the-ground knowledge of swing states and US races
• Record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds

Responsabilités

• Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff
• Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds
• Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact
• Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard

Connaissances

Polling literacy

Causal event analysis

Live-judgment experience

Description du poste

Mercor is seeking a local political analyst to craft point-in-time political reports and forecasts anchored to a fixed evidence cutoff. You will judge polling directions, win probabilities, and market-implied odds, then explain how events may impact political and financial outcomes.

You will review model analyses and benchmark them against your standards. The role emphasizes on-the-ground knowledge of US races in swing states, with strong experience in forecasting and probabilistic judgment.