Local Elections Forecasting & Political Risk Analyst

HumanitApp; Iowa; Presencial; USD 138.000 - 276.000; Jornada completa

Descripción de la vacante

HumanitApp is seeking on-the-ground political analysts in the United States with deep swing-state race experience to author point-in-time reports, forecast elections, and document judgments from a fixed evidence cut-off. This role focuses on elections, polling, and political-risk events.

Ideal candidates have 8+ years of state-level political work, with hands-on knowledge of electorates and a track record in live polling judgments.

Formación

• 8+ years of direct experience in US state politics or elections.
• Hands-on work in swing states with knowledge of local campaigns.
• Proven ability to judge polling dynamics and election probabilities.

Responsabilidades

• Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff.
• Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds.
• Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact.
• Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard.

Conocimientos

Polling literacy

Forecasting

Causal event analysis

Live polling judgments

State-level political experience

Educación

Bachelor's degree in political science

Master's degree in political science

Descripción del empleo

HumanitApp is seeking on-the-ground political analysts in the United States with deep swing-state race experience to author point-in-time reports, forecast elections, and document judgments from a fixed evidence cut-off. This role focuses on elections, polling, and political-risk events.

Ideal candidates have 8+ years of state-level political work, with hands-on knowledge of electorates and a track record in live polling judgments.