Local Elections Forecasting & Political Risk Analyst

aitrainer; United States; A distancia; USD 90.000 - 140.000; Jornada completa

Descripción de la vacante

aitrainer is seeking local political analysts to author point-in-time political reports and forecasts, focusing on elections, polling, and political-risk events. You will reason from fixed cutoffs, document judgments, and assess live race dynamics with deep local knowledge.

Ideal candidates have hands-on experience with specific races in swing states, strong polling literacy, and the ability to explain causal mechanisms behind predicted impacts.

Formación

• 8+ years of direct experience in political analysis for US races.
• Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis.
• Forecasting, probabilistic judgment, and live-race assessment experience.

Responsabilidades

• Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff.
• Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds.
• Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact.
• Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard.

Conocimientos

Polling literacy

Casual event analysis

Forecasting/odds judgments

Judgment under cutoff

Descripción del empleo

aitrainer is seeking local political analysts to author point-in-time political reports and forecasts, focusing on elections, polling, and political-risk events. You will reason from fixed cutoffs, document judgments, and assess live race dynamics with deep local knowledge.

Ideal candidates have hands-on experience with specific races in swing states, strong polling literacy, and the ability to explain causal mechanisms behind predicted impacts.