State Elections Forecasting & Political Risk Analyst

Jade; United States; A distancia; USD 120.000 - 180.000; Jornada completa

Descripción de la vacante

Jade in the United States seeks a senior political analyst to author point-in-time reports for elections, polling, and political-risk events, using fixed evidence cutoffs and documenting judgments as a capable analyst would at that moment.

You will assess polling literacy, explain causal mechanisms behind event impacts, and review model analyses against your own standards. Local swing-state experience and live judgment on races are essential.

Formación

• Experience with live US races in swing states.
• Strong ability to make live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or market-implied odds.
• Excellent understanding of how events influence political and market outcomes.

Responsabilidades

• Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff.
• Make and document directional judgments about polling and win probabilities.
• Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's political and market impact.
• Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard.

Conocimientos

Polling literacy

Forecasting

Causal analysis

Judgment under pressure

Descripción del empleo

Jade in the United States seeks a senior political analyst to author point-in-time reports for elections, polling, and political-risk events, using fixed evidence cutoffs and documenting judgments as a capable analyst would at that moment.

You will assess polling literacy, explain causal mechanisms behind event impacts, and review model analyses against your own standards. Local swing-state experience and live judgment on races are essential.