Remote Elections Forecasting & Political Risk Analyst

SaidGig; New York (NY); Remote; USD 165,000 - 276,000; Part time

Job summary

SaidGig in the United States is seeking a seasoned political analyst to write political reports and forecasts using a stated evidence cutoff. You will make directional assessments of polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds for swing-state races.

You will explain the causal drivers behind an event's anticipated political and market effects, review AI-generated analyses, and evaluate them against your own analytical standard.

Qualifications

• 8+ years of direct experience in U.S. political forecasting or polling.
• Experience with swing-state races and electoral data analysis.
• Ability to make live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds for relevant races.
• Strong polling literacy and ability to analyze the causal effects of political events.

Responsibilities

• Write political reports and forecasts using a stated evidence cutoff.
• Make and document directional assessments of polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds.
• Explain the causal drivers behind an event's anticipated political and market effects.
• Review AI-generated analyses and evaluate them against your own analytical standard.

Skills

Polling literacy

Forecasting

Win probabilities

Odds assessment

Causal analysis

Experience with swing-state races

Live judgment on polling

Job description

SaidGig in the United States is seeking a seasoned political analyst to write political reports and forecasts using a stated evidence cutoff. You will make directional assessments of polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds for swing-state races.

You will explain the causal drivers behind an event's anticipated political and market effects, review AI-generated analyses, and evaluate them against your own analytical standard.