Remote Political Forecasting & Risk Analysis Expert

OpenTrain AI; Northern (KY); Hybrid; USD 207,000 - 344,000; Part time

Benefits offered by this job

Remote contract and part-time

English-language work

Job summary

OpenTrain AI is seeking a political forecasting and risk analysis expert to produce point-in-time political reports covering elections, polling, and political-risk events. You will use only the evidence available at a defined cutoff, combining live probabilistic judgment, causal analysis, and rigorous review of model-generated political research.

The role requires disciplined reasoning without hindsight, data leakage, confidential information, or material non-public information.

Qualifications

• Eight or more years of direct forecasting experience.
• Background in election forecasting, polling, or political-risk analysis.
• Live forecasting judgments over retrospective commentary.

Responsibilities

• Author political reports from a stated evidence cutoff.
• Document directional judgments about polling and odds.
• Explain how events affect political and market outcomes.
• Review model-generated analyses against an analytic standard.
• Apply point-in-time reasoning without hindsight.
• Avoid confidential or non-public information.

Skills

Live forecasting

Polling literacy

Statistical method

Causal analysis

Model evaluation

English proficiency

Job description

OpenTrain AI is seeking a political forecasting and risk analysis expert to produce point-in-time political reports covering elections, polling, and political-risk events. You will use only the evidence available at a defined cutoff, combining live probabilistic judgment, causal analysis, and rigorous review of model-generated political research.

The role requires disciplined reasoning without hindsight, data leakage, confidential information, or material non-public information.