Maine Political Forecasting Expert (Remote)

Benture; Maine; Teletrabalho; USD 138 000 - 276 000; Tempo parcial

Resumo da oferta

Mercor is seeking a Political Forecasting Expert to focus on Maine races. The role involves authoring point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a fixed evidence cutoff, and documenting directional judgments about polling and market-impacted probabilities.

You will explain the causal mechanisms behind events and review model analyses for accuracy. Requires extensive on-the-ground knowledge of Maine's electorate, candidates, and local political environment, with a track record of

Qualificações

• 8+ years of direct political analysis or equivalent performance
• Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis
• Experience making live judgments about polling or odds in Maine races

Responsabilidades

• Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff
• Make and document directional judgments about polling and win probabilities
• Explain the causal mechanisms behind events' political and market impact
• Review model analyses and grade them against your standard

Conhecimentos

Polling literacy

Forecasting

Causal event analysis

Live judgment

Descrição da oferta de emprego

Mercor is seeking a Political Forecasting Expert to focus on Maine races. The role involves authoring point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a fixed evidence cutoff, and documenting directional judgments about polling and market-impacted probabilities.

You will explain the causal mechanisms behind events and review model analyses for accuracy. Requires extensive on-the-ground knowledge of Maine's electorate, candidates, and local political environment, with a track record of