Maine Political Forecast Analyst

Jade; United States; Remote; USD 120.000 - 180.000; Vollzeit

Zusammenfassung

Jade is building expert-authored forecasting and research data used to evaluate and improve AI models on real political and financial analysis. This role covers political report authorship: elections, polling, and political-risk events.

You will author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff, make directional judgments about polling and win probabilities, explain causal mechanisms, and review model analyses for accuracy against your own standards.

Qualifikationen

• Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis.
• Experience producing point-in-time political assessments.
• Ability to document reasoning without hindsight.

Aufgaben

• Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff.
• Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds.
• Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact.
• Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard.

Kenntnisse

Polling literacy

Forecasting judgments

Causal event analysis

Written reports

Ausbildung

Political science degree

Tools

Statistical software

Jobbeschreibung

Jade is building expert-authored forecasting and research data used to evaluate and improve AI models on real political and financial analysis. This role covers political report authorship: elections, polling, and political-risk events.

You will author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff, make directional judgments about polling and win probabilities, explain causal mechanisms, and review model analyses for accuracy against your own standards.