National Rail Revenue Forecasting Lead

DfT Operator Limited; Birmingham; Hybrid; GBP 50,000 - 61,000; Full time

Benefits offered by this job

Annual leave 25 days

DC Pension Scheme: 10% employer

Networking across rail industry

Job summary

DFTO seeks a skilled forecasting professional to help shape Britain's rail revenue outlook. You will contribute to developing and maintaining the national revenue model, analysing drivers such as passenger demand, fares policy, and economy to inform strategic decisions.

You will produce robust forecasting analyses for senior stakeholders, collaborate with train operators and government, and support the transition to a unified forecasting framework for Great British Railways.

Qualifications

• Strong analytical and problem-solving skills with data and models.
• Advanced Excel skills and forecasting model experience.
• Expert PowerPoint skills for senior audiences.
• Experience in forecasting, economics, analytics, finance, transport or related field.
• Excellent communication and ability to explain complex concepts.
• Collaborative and able to build cross-organisational relationships.
• Interest in improving forecasting methods and deriving insights.
• Rail/transport forecasting or commercial analysis experience is advantageous.

Responsibilities

• Produce, maintain and communicate national rail revenue forecasts.
• Develop the National Industry Revenue Model and forecasting tools.
• Analyze drivers of rail revenue and identify risks and opportunities.
• Assess impact of economic conditions, consumer behaviour, and weather on revenue.
• Develop forecasting assumptions, scenarios and sensitivities for planning.
• Evaluate revenue impact of commercial initiatives and policy interventions.
• Provide ad-hoc forecasting and commercial analysis for strategic decisions.
• Collaborate with train operators, Network Rail, government and consultants.
• Help shape forecasting framework for Great British Railways.
• Present insights to senior stakeholders.

Skills

Advanced Excel

PowerPoint

Forecasting

Data analysis

Forecasting economics

Communication

Collaboration

Rail forecasting

Problem solving

Tools

Forecasting models

Data visualization

Job description

DFTO seeks a skilled forecasting professional to help shape Britain's rail revenue outlook. You will contribute to developing and maintaining the national revenue model, analysing drivers such as passenger demand, fares policy, and economy to inform strategic decisions.

You will produce robust forecasting analyses for senior stakeholders, collaborate with train operators and government, and support the transition to a unified forecasting framework for Great British Railways.