Strategic Rail Revenue Forecaster

DfT Operator Limited; Greater London; Hybrid; GBP 50,000 - 61,000; Full time

Benefits offered by this job

Hybrid working

DC Pension Scheme

Office locations: London/Leeds/Birming

Job summary

DFTO is seeking a skilled forecasting analyst to help shape Britain’s rail revenue forecasting capabilities. You will develop and maintain national revenue models and run analyses that inform strategic decisions at senior levels.

Working within the Customer & Revenue Growth team, you’ll analyze passenger demand, fares, economic conditions and policy impacts, presenting findings to government bodies, operators and Network Rail. Hybrid London/Leeds/Birmingham base with travel to offices as needed.

Qualifications

• Strong analytical and problem-solving skills with an ability to work with complex data and models.
• Advanced Excel skills and experience developing or maintaining forecasting models.
• Expert PowerPoint skills, with experience of producing high quality presentations used effectively with a senior audience.
• Experience in forecasting, economics, analytics, finance, transport or a related field.
• Ability to challenge assumptions and assess uncertainty using evidence and judgement.
• Strong quantitative skills and an understanding of forecasting techniques.
• Excellent communication skills with the ability to explain technical concepts to non-technical audiences.
• Collaborative approach and ability to build relationships across organisations.
• Passion for improving forecasting methods and generating insight that influences decisions.
• Experience of rail, transport demand forecasting or commercial analysis would be advantageous but is not essential.

Responsibilities

• Support the production, maintenance and communication of national rail revenue forecasts.
• Maintain and develop the National Industry Revenue Model and associated forecasting tools.
• Analyse the key drivers of rail revenue performance and identify risks and opportunities.
• Assess the impact of economic conditions, consumer behaviour, operational performance, disruption and severe weather on revenue outcomes.
• Develop forecasting assumptions, scenarios and sensitivities for industry planning exercises.
• Evaluate the revenue impact of commercial initiatives, business plans and policy interventions.
• Provide ad-hoc forecasting and commercial analysis to support strategic decision making.
• Work with train operators, Network Rail, government and consultants to improve forecasting methodologies.
• Help shape the future forecasting framework and analytical capability for Great British Railways.
• Present complex analysis and forecasting insights to senior stakeholders.

Skills

Analytical thinking

Advanced Excel

PowerPoint

Forecasting

Data interpretation

Tools

Forecasting software

Job description

DFTO is seeking a skilled forecasting analyst to help shape Britain’s rail revenue forecasting capabilities. You will develop and maintain national revenue models and run analyses that inform strategic decisions at senior levels.

Working within the Customer & Revenue Growth team, you’ll analyze passenger demand, fares, economic conditions and policy impacts, presenting findings to government bodies, operators and Network Rail. Hybrid London/Leeds/Birmingham base with travel to offices as needed.