Head of Long-Range Strategy & Scenario Intelligence

ADNOC Abu Dhabi UAE; Al Ruways Industrial City; On-site; AED 40,000 - 60,000; Full time

Job summary

ADNOC Gas in Abu Dhabi Emirate seeks a senior Manager for Business Intelligence and Scenarios to lead long-range market outlooks and scenario modelling. You will translate macroeconomic, gas, LNG, and energy transition trends into strategic signals for senior leadership and governance over planning horizons of 5–25 years.

The role focuses on portfolio resilience, capital allocation, and decision-ready analysis, ensuring robust assumptions across Strategy, Finance, Marketing and Planning

Qualifications

• Bachelor's degree in a relevant discipline.

Responsibilities

• Lead development of long-term market, demand, supply, price, and profitability outlooks.
• Produce strategic outlooks covering planning horizons from 5 to 25 years.
• Develop macroeconomic scenario models for alternative future environments.
• Build sector-level scenarios reflecting changes in energy demand, supply, regulation, and policy.
• Evaluate energy transition pathways and implications for ADNOC Gas.
• Identify strategic risks and opportunities in global and regional energy markets.
• Translate market developments into implications for corporate strategy.
• Develop a living scenario model for senior leadership use.
• Establish guardrails and early-warning indicators for scenario outcomes.
• Coordinate with Upstream, DM&T, Marketing and Finance for consistent assumptions.

Skills

Business intelligence

Scenario planning

Long-term outlooks

Strategic planning

Corporate strategy

Market intelligence

Energy market analysis

Gas market analysis

LNG market analysis

NGL market analysis

Demand forecasting

Supply forecasting

Price outlooks

Profitability outlooks

Macroeconomic modelling

Sector scenario modelling

Energy transition scenarios

Multi-pathway scenarios

Strategic risk analysis

Portfolio stress-testing

P and L stress-testing

Portfolio resilience

CAPEX modelling

NPV analysis

IRR analysis

Sensitivity analysis

Financial modelling

Economic modelling

Investment analysis

Growth opportunity assessment

Capital allocation

Strategic Plan development

Gas Masterplan alignment

Market assumptions

Strategic assumptions

Assumption governance

Early-warning indicators

Strategic guardrails

Executive reporting

EXCOM presentations

CEO briefings

Board-level analysis

Decision support

Portfolio analytics

Market structure analysis

Gas contracting

LNG contracting

Energy economics

Cross-functional influence

Stakeholder alignment

Finance coordination

Marketing coordination

Upstream coordination

DM&T coordination

Team leadership

Specialist team development

UAE National development

Emiratisation support

Talent retention

Data governance

Strategic benchmarking

Job description

ADNOC Gas in Abu Dhabi Emirate seeks a senior Manager for Business Intelligence and Scenarios to lead long-range market outlooks and scenario modelling. You will translate macroeconomic, gas, LNG, and energy transition trends into strategic signals for senior leadership and governance over planning horizons of 5–25 years.

The role focuses on portfolio resilience, capital allocation, and decision-ready analysis, ensuring robust assumptions across Strategy, Finance, Marketing and Planning