Prediction Markets Researcher

Fionics; New York (NY); On-site; USD 120,000 - 180,000; Full time

Job summary

Fionics is hiring a Prediction Markets Researcher to price events and develop models for a growing event-contract book. You’ll build models to price sports, politics, and other events, quantify edge, and translate findings into live trading strategies.

The role emphasizes probabilistic thinking, strong statistics, and Python proficiency, with ownership of your work in a fast-moving market environment.

Qualifications

• Strong statistics and probabilistic thinking are essential.
• Comfortable coding in Python to build and test pricing models.
• Ability to quantify edge and relate it to live strategies.

Responsibilities

• Build pricing models for events across markets (sports, politics, etc.).
• Identify edge, quantify it, and validate with data.
• Collaborate with traders to implement pricing logic in live strategies and adapt to market moves.

Skills

Strong statistics

Python

Probability & EV

Job description

Prediction markets are the fastest-moving corner of trading right now, and the firms winning in them all need the same scarce thing: people who can actually price an event.

We're hiring a Prediction Markets Researcher for a firm building a serious sports and event-contract book.

What you'd do

Build the models that price events, sport, politics, whatever the market throws up. Find edge, quantify it, and work with traders to put it into live strategies. Watch how these markets really move and stay ahead of it.

Who we're looking for

Someone who thinks in probabilities and expected value. That might be a quant researcher from a trading firm, a sharp sports modeller from a book or syndicate, or someone who's been quietly beating Kalshi and Polymarket on their own. Strong stats, comfortable in Python, and genuinely obsessed with getting the number right.

You don't need years in prediction markets. Almost nobody has them. You need the raw ability and the obsession.

The offer

Real ownership of your work, a seat in a market that's still being built, and comp that reflects the edge you bring.