Director, CECL Analytics and Loss Forecasting

First National Bank of Omaha; Omaha (NE); Hybrid; USD 98,000 - 166,000; Full time

Benefits offered by this job

Medical

Dental

Vision Insurance

401k, With Matching Contributions

Time Off Programs

Health Savings Account (HSA)/Dependent

Employee Banking

Growth Opportunities

Tuition Assistance

Disability Insurance

Job summary

First National Bank of Omaha (FNBO) is seeking a Director of CECL Analytics and Loss Forecasting to lead advanced modeling and risk insight across CRE, C&I, agriculture, retail, and small business lending. The role blends deep econometric expertise with strategic leadership, driving CECL strategy, regulatory alignment, and executive-level guidance on risk trends and opportunities in loss forecasting.

You will mentor analysts, manage cross-functional initiatives, and partner with regulators and

Qualifications

• Bachelor’s degree required in data science, mathematics, statistics, finance or economics.
• 8+ years of analytical experience with 5+ years in Credit Risk or related fields.
• 3+ years of Python and SQL experience; strong Excel skills.

Responsibilities

• Lead CECL loss forecasting model development and maintenance for multiple commercial portfolios.
• Integrate loss forecasting with risk strategy, regulatory compliance, and executive reporting.
• Serve as liaison with regulators, auditors, and vendors on CECL matters.
• Provide insights linking model outputs to macro trends and management decisions.
• Mentor analysts and build enterprise credit risk capabilities.

Skills

Python programming

SQL

Excel

Data analysis

Communication

Leadership

Education

Bachelor’s degree in data science / mathematics / statistics / finance / economics

Tools

Snowflake

Job description

Summary of the Job:

Director, CECL Analytics and Loss Forecasting is a technical and business leadership position that drives FNBO's CECL strategy, loss forecasting excellence, and credit risk business intelligence across commercial real estate, commercial & industrial, agriculture, retail consumer, and small business lending portfolios. This dual-focused role combines deep technical expertise in advanced statistical and econometric modeling techniques with strategic business leadership, serving as both the primary subject matter expert for commercial lending business practices and sophisticated loss forecasting models including Moody's dual score matrices and a trusted advisor to executive leadership on credit risk trends, regulatory implications, and strategic opportunities within the loss forecasting domain.

About This Role:

Major Responsibilities Lead strategic business initiatives integrating loss forecasting capabilities with business strategy execution, risk appetite development, and regulatory compliance across commercial real estate, commercial & industrial, agriculture, retail consumer, and commercial business lending portfolios. Develop, and maintain appropriate CECL loss forecasting models for commercial portfolios leveraging Moody's dual score matrices and portfolio segmentation approaches that recognize unique characteristics of CRE (property types, geographic concentrations), C&I (industry sectors, cash flow dynamics), agriculture (commodity cycles, seasonal variations), and retail consumer products. Lead continuous enhancement of CECL qualitative assessments and write-ups, ensuring comprehensive explanations of portfolio-specific risk factors, economic adjustments, and management overlays that support quantitative model outputs. Ensure models meet regulatory standards including SR 11-7, while serving as primary liaison with internal and external regulators, auditors, and vendors on ongoing CECL-related matters and examinations. Develop and communicate advanced business intelligence that connects loss forecasting results to management decisions, macroeconomic trends, and organizational objectives across wide business audiences. Independently initiate, conduct and manage complex credit risk projects, including project design, data collection, analysis, summarization, presentation of results and recommendations, and implementation support. Provide strategic guidance and technical mentorship to analysts and business leaders across the organization, building organizational capabilities through expertise sharing, training initiatives, and strategic consultation that enhance enterprise credit risk management.

The Ideal Candidate for This Role:

Education and Experience Bachelor’s degree in data science, mathematics, statistics, finance, economics, or related field required. 8+ years of experience in highly analytical business functions, including at least 5 years in Credit Risk, modeling or related fields. 3+ years of experience using Python programming, and SQL with a focus on data analysis, financial modeling, and expert knowledge of Excel. Strong knowledge of working with cloud-based data warehousing solutions (e.g., Snowflake) Demonstrated excellent oral and written communication skills. Demonstrated ability to handle stress, meet deadlines and work independently. Experience in banking or financial services is preferred.

Knowledge & Skills Deep knowledge of commercial real estate, commercial & industrial, agriculture, retail consumer, and small business lending products and credit risk characteristics. Demonstrated leadership abilities with experience managing projects and/or teams in a technical environment. Ability to manage multiple complex projects simultaneously while meeting critical deadlines. Extensive knowledge of statistical and data science methods applied in the finance industry along with advanced programming skills. Ability to work with data to identify complex business trends and propose solutions Ability to build consensus and influence the organization in order to achieve business goals. Experience with loss forecasting and stress testing at a financial institution, preferably a CCAR institution. Candidates must possess unrestricted work authorization and not require future sponsorship.

Compensation:

Compensation range (base pay): $97,774.00-$166,216.00. This role may have a specific starting pay within this range. Final compensation offer to candidate may vary from posted hiring range based upon work experience, education, and/or skill level.

Work Environment:

It is anticipated that the incumbent in this role will work in a hybrid capacity, balancing in-person collaboration three (3) days a week with remote flexibility two (2) days a week. As part of our team, you'll experience the energy and relationship-building of face-to-face collaboration while still enjoying the flexibility of remote workdays. We provide the tools and technology to ensure seamless transitions between work environments, supporting your productivity wherever you are. Please note that work location is subject to change based on business needs.

Benefits Overview:

• Medical
• Dental
• Vision Insurance
• 401k, With Matching Contributions
• Time Off Programs
• Health Savings Account (HSA)/Dependent Care
• Employee Banking
• Growth Opportunities
• Tuition Assistance
• Short-Term/Long-Term Disability Insurance

Learn more about FNBO benefits here: https://www.fnbo.com/careers/benefits/.

Equal Opportunity & Belonging:

FNBO believes that the quality of our employee experience is at the heart of our customer experience. One key pillar of our intended employee experience is Belonging. Belonging means we are committed to fostering a workplace culture where employees of all backgrounds feel valued, recognized, and empowered to be their authentic selves—no matter their role or where they are in their journey. Learn more here. FNBO is an equal opportunity employer for all employees and applicants and makes employment decisions without regard to status or identity. Note: The "Click here" lines removed. FNBO follows federal law regarding the use of marijuana (this applies to all non-California applicants).

Application Deadline:

All our jobs will be posted for a minimum of 5 calendar days. Job postings may come down prior to 5 calendar days based on volume of applicants.

Grow Your Career with FNBO!

For 170 years, our holding company - First National of Nebraska (FNNI) - has grown to more than 4,500 employees with locations in nine states and $35 billion in assets. We are proud to serve our customers and communities with banking offices located in Nebraska, Colorado, Illinois, Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, South Dakota, Texas and Wyoming. FNBO (First National Bank of Omaha) believes that a bank should be a force for good in the world; to positively influence the lives of our employees, customers and the success of the communities we serve. Whether you're just beginning your career or taking it to the next level, you'll find your fit here.

Bilingual Careers Internships & Trainee Program

FNBO believes that the quality of our employee experience is at the heart of our customer experience. One key pillar of our intended employee experience is Belonging. Belonging means we are committed to fostering a workplace culture where employees of all backgrounds feel valued, recognized, and empowered to be their authentic selves—no matter their role or where they are in their journey. FNBO is an equal opportunity employer for all employees and applicants and makes employment decisions without regard to status or identity. We strive to represent the communities in which we serve. Learn more here. FNBO endeavors to make our site accessible to any and all users. If you would like to contact us regarding the accessibility of our website or need assistance completing the application process, please contact HR Solution One via either email or phone using the contact information below. Online (Primary Response Hours: M-F, 8a-5p Central) [e-mail] Phone (Available: M-F, 10a-2p; Central) [phone] [phone]