Senior Forecasting & Modelling Lead - Rail Performance

FirstGroup; Greater London; Hybrid; GBP 65,000 - 90,000; Full time

Benefits offered by this job

Free Travel for you and a nominated•(

Job summary

First Rail London (FRL) is seeking a skilled forecasting and analytics professional to lead forecasting and predictive modelling across the London Overground network. You will develop models and deliver insights to support planning, investment and performance improvement.

You will collaborate with senior stakeholders, translating complex data into clear recommendations and ensuring decisions are informed by robust analysis.

Qualifications

• Experience in forecasting, modelling, analytics or performance improvement.
• Strong analytical and problem-solving skills.
• Experience developing business cases, benefits modelling or investment appraisals.
• Ability to interpret complex data and present findings to senior stakeholders.
• Strong understanding of performance drivers and operational resilience.

Responsibilities

• Develop and maintain forecasting models to predict future performance, reliability and resilience risks across the network.
• Analyse trends in operational, infrastructure, fleet and resource performance to identify emerging risks and opportunities.
• Produce scenario modelling to assess the potential impact of timetable changes, infrastructure interventions, resource changes and operational initiatives.
• Support medium and long-term performance planning through data-led forecasting and analysis.
• Develop performance trajectories and provide insight into future performance risks against concession and business targets.
• Generate actionable insight to support the design and prioritisation of performance improvement initiatives.

Skills

Forecasting

Analytics

Performance improvement

Stakeholder communication

Business case development

Education

Degree in analytical discipline

Tools

Visualization tools

Modelling tools

Job description

First Rail London (FRL) is seeking a skilled forecasting and analytics professional to lead forecasting and predictive modelling across the London Overground network. You will develop models and deliver insights to support planning, investment and performance improvement.

You will collaborate with senior stakeholders, translating complex data into clear recommendations and ensuring decisions are informed by robust analysis.