Prediction Markets Trader - Quant, Polymarket/Kalshi

DRW; United States; Hybrid; USD 175,000 - 200,000; Full time

Benefits offered by this job

401(k) with discretionary employer match

Health insurance

Flexible spending accounts

Job summary

A major trading firm in the United States is seeking a Prediction Markets Trader to develop and optimize trading strategies in binary event contracts. This role involves managing a live portfolio, trading across platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, and requires a strong foundation in quantitative analysis and genuine interest in prediction markets. Ideal candidates will have relevant finance or quantitative degrees and demonstrated engagement in the prediction markets space. Our firm offers a competitive compensation package with substantial benefits.

Qualifications

• Strong foundation in probability, time-series analysis, and Bayesian methods.
• Hands-on experience with prediction market platforms or closely related domains.
• Demonstrated genuine interest in prediction markets.

Responsibilities

• Monitor and trade active markets in real time across Polymarket and Kalshi.
• Execute dynamic skew market making and cross-platform arbitrage strategies.
• Develop and backtest models using historical tick data and ML for fair-value estimation.

Skills

Prediction markets engagement

Quantitative reasoning

Statistical models

Education

Bachelor's or higher in Quantitative Finance, Statistics, Computer Science, Economics, Mathematics

Tools

Polymarket API

Kalshi API

Job description

A major trading firm in the United States is seeking a Prediction Markets Trader to develop and optimize trading strategies in binary event contracts. This role involves managing a live portfolio, trading across platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, and requires a strong foundation in quantitative analysis and genuine interest in prediction markets. Ideal candidates will have relevant finance or quantitative degrees and demonstrated engagement in the prediction markets space. Our firm offers a competitive compensation package with substantial benefits.