Prediction Markets Researcher

Fionics; New York (NY); In loco; USD 140.000 - 230.000; Tempo pieno

Vantaggi offerti da questo lavoro

Ownership stake

Descrizione del lavoro

Fionics is seeking a Prediction Markets Researcher to build models pricing events across sports, politics, and other markets. You will quantify edge, validate pricing accuracy, and work with traders to deploy strategies that respond to live market conditions.

You should think in probabilities and expected value, with strong statistics and Python proficiency. Prior success comes from precise numbers and relentless curiosity about market movement.

Competenze

• Strong stats background with practical statistical modeling and validation.
• Fluency with Python for research pipelines and data analysis.
• Ability to think in probabilities and expected value for pricing events.

Mansioni

• Build models to price events, sports, politics, and other marketable events.
• Identify edge, quantify it, and translate it into live trading strategies.
• Collaborate with traders to implement pricing models and monitor performance.
• Stay ahead of market moves by continuously updating models and assumptions.

Conoscenze

Strong stats

Python

Probability thinking

Quant mindset

Strumenti

Backtesting

Pandas

Descrizione del lavoro

Prediction markets are the fastest-moving corner of trading right now, and the firms winning in them all need the same scarce thing: people who can actually price an event.

We're hiring a Prediction Markets Researcher for a firm building a serious sports and event-contract book.

What you'd do

Build the models that price events, sport, politics, whatever the market throws up. Find edge, quantify it, and work with traders to put it into live strategies. Watch how these markets really move and stay ahead of it.

Who we're looking for

Someone who thinks in probabilities and expected value. That might be a quant researcher from a trading firm, a sharp sports modeller from a book or syndicate, or someone who's been quietly beating Kalshi and Polymarket on their own. Strong stats, comfortable in Python, and genuinely obsessed with getting the number right.

You don't need years in prediction markets. Almost nobody has them. You need the raw ability and the obsession.

The offer

Real ownership of your work, a seat in a market that's still being built, and comp that reflects the edge you bring.