Prediction Markets Researcher

Fionics; New York (NY); On-site; USD 120,000 - 180,000; Full time

Job summary

Fionics in the United States is seeking a Prediction Markets Researcher to build models that price events across sports, politics, and other markets.

You’ll find edge, quantify it, and collaborate with traders to convert it into live strategies while watching how markets move and staying ahead. Strong stats, comfort with Python, and an obsession with getting the number right are the core requirements; you don’t need formal prediction-market experience.

Qualifications

• Proficiency with statistics and probability to price events.
• Strong programming skills in Python.
• A relentless commitment to getting the numbers right.

Responsibilities

• Build models that price events across sports, politics, and other markets.
• Find edge, quantify it, and work with traders to implement live strategies.
• Monitor market moves and stay ahead of developing dynamics.

Skills

Probability theory

Statistics

Python programming

Tools

Python

Job description

Prediction markets are the fastest-moving corner of trading right now, and the firms winning in them all need the same scarce thing: people who can actually price an event.

We're hiring a Prediction Markets Researcher for a firm building a serious sports and event-contract book.

What you'd do

Build the models that price events, sport, politics, whatever the market throws up. Find edge, quantify it, and work with traders to put it into live strategies. Watch how these markets really move and stay ahead of it.

Who we're looking for

Someone who thinks in probabilities and expected value. That might be a quant researcher from a trading firm, a sharp sports modeller from a book or syndicate, or someone who's been quietly beating Kalshi and Polymarket on their own. Strong stats, comfortable in Python, and genuinely obsessed with getting the number right.

You don't need years in prediction markets. Almost nobody has them. You need the raw ability and the obsession.

The offer

Real ownership of your work, a seat in a market that's still being built, and comp that reflects the edge you bring.