Part-Time Geopolitical & Event Forecasting Analyst

Lightly AG; United States; Remote; USD 55,000 - 83,000; Part time

Benefits offered by this job

YC-backed team

Flexible hours

Job summary

Lightly AG in Zurich seeks analytical Geopolitical and Event Forecasting Professionals for evaluating AI-generated predictions on real-world events. Projects run about 15 hours per week and begin early July.

You will assess forecasts on elections, macro policy, and tech/regulatory events using a rubric, collaborating with a YC-backed team. The role requires 2–3 years in political analysis or policy research, excellent English, and strong quantitative skills.

Qualifications

• 2–3 years of experience in political analysis, macroeconomics, geopolitical risk, or policy research.
• Experience producing or evaluating probabilistic forecasts (elections, policy impact, macro scenarios).
• Familiarity with prediction markets or superforecasting methodologies.
• Fluency in English required.

Responsibilities

• Evaluate AI-generated event forecasts using a provided rubric.
• Assess predictions on elections, central bank decisions, policy announcements and tech/regulatory events.
• Provide high-quality feedback and summaries of forecast accuracy.

Skills

Geopolitical risk analysis

Probabilistic forecasting

Data analysis / quantitative skills

Policy research

Clear communication

Fluent in English

Tools

Polymarket

Metaculus

Job description

Lightly AG in Zurich seeks analytical Geopolitical and Event Forecasting Professionals for evaluating AI-generated predictions on real-world events. Projects run about 15 hours per week and begin early July.

You will assess forecasts on elections, macro policy, and tech/regulatory events using a rubric, collaborating with a YC-backed team. The role requires 2–3 years in political analysis or policy research, excellent English, and strong quantitative skills.