Lead Actuarial Predictive Modeler

AAA; St. Louis (MO); On-site; USD 130,000 - 190,000; Full time

Benefits offered by this job

Health coverage

401(K) and Pension

Tuition assistance

Job summary

AAA is seeking a Lead Actuarial Predictive Modeler in St. Louis to drive end-to-end pricing initiatives. The role focuses on developing predictive models for pricing segmentation and lifetime value, leveraging actuarial theory with advanced statistics and ML techniques.

Collaboration with Actuarial, Product, Underwriting, and IT ensures compliant, data-driven pricing strategies. The candidate will lead model design and execution, mentor colleagues, and ensure robust documentation while

Qualifications

• Master's degree or equivalent in Actuarial, Statistics, or Data Science.
• 7–9 years of experience building and deploying predictive models in insurance.
• 7–9 years of actuarial experience preferred.
• Master’s degree in Actuarial, Statistical, or Data Science field required.
• Demonstrated success implementing predictive modeling solutions for insurance use cases.
• Strong SQL skills.
• Strong Python skills preferred.

Responsibilities

• Build predictive models with focus on pricing segmentation and life-time value.
• Lead design of models for specific actuarial tasks and create execution plans.
• Identify and propose new technologies and tools for pricing analytics.
• Communicate project results to business partners clearly; manage delays.
• Mentor predictive modelers in development and career growth.
• Ensure proper documentation for regulatory and business concerns.
• Act autonomously with deep knowledge of ratemaking and pricing disciplines.

Skills

SQL

Python

Actuarial methods

Data science

Communication

Mentoring

Education

Master's degree in Actuarial/Statistical/Data Science

Fellow of CAS

Associate of CAS

Job description

Lead Actuarial Predictive Modeler

The Lead Actuarial Predictive Modeler creates predictive models with a primary focus on pricing segmentation and lifetime value. This role actively designs, develops, and implements actuarial pricing models and predictive segmentation strategies, applying established actuarial theory alongside advanced statistical and machine learning techniques. The Lead Actuarial Predictive Modeler works directly with loss cost models, including developing new rating features as well as acquisition, retention and conversion models to support accurate, competitive, and financially sound pricing decisions. This role drives complex, end-to-end pricing initiatives—from exploratory analysis and model development through governance, implementation, and monitoring. The Lead Actuarial Predictive Modeler partners closely with Actuarial, Product, Underwriting, and IT teams to translate business objectives into actuarially defensible pricing solutions, ensure regulatory compliance, and support timely rate filings. This position is deeply involved in execution, managing accelerated timelines, maintaining pricing discipline, and leading the delivery of high-quality results.

Job Duties

• Personally build predictive models with focus on the most difficult and complex projects. Ensure solutions built meet the strategic needs of our organization as well as any regulatory or internal parameters.
• Lead design of models best-suited for specific tasks and ensure analytic efforts are executed correctly. Create execution plans and assist predictive modelers in building robust and predictive models.
• Identify and propose new technologies and tools that could benefit the Predictive Modeling and Analytics business unit.
• Lead communication of project results/challenges to business partners in ways they can understand. Proactive communication of delays to planned efforts.
• Mentor team members to assist with development, training, and career pathing
• Ensure all projects have proper documentation taking into account potential regulatory, legal, or business concerns.
• Able to act autonomously. The Senior Modeler must have an advanced knowledge of ratemaking, actuarial methods and methodologies as well as predictive modeling and data science methods and how those methods can be properly applied across different projects.

Qualifications

• Masters Equivalent combination of education and experience Required
• 7-9 years Experience building and deploying predictive models in an insurance environment required
• 7-9 years Actuarial Experience preferred Preferred
• Master’s degree in Actuarial, Statistical, or Data Science field (or equivalent combination of education and experience) required
• Demonstrated success implementing predictive modeling solutions for insurance use cases
• Strong SQL skills
• Strong Python skills preferred with other modeling tools and softwares a plus
• Ability to understand the big picture and drive the initiatives the lead to completion of the overall big picture
• Ability to work in cross-functional/departmental groups and keep multiple moving pieces straight
• Ability to communicate complex topics clearly to business leaders
• Mentor and assist predictive modelers in their respective functions and responsibilities.
• Fellow of Casualty Actuarial Society - Casualty Actuarial Society Preferred
• Associate of Casualty Actuarial Society - Casualty Actuarial Society Preferred

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Remarkable benefits:

• Health coverage for medical, dental, vision
• 401(K) saving plans with company match AND Pension
• Tuition assistance
• Floating holidays and PTO for community volunteer programs
• Paid parental leave
• Wellness programs
• Employee discounts (membership, insurance,
• travel, entertainment, services and more!)

Auto Club Enterprises is the largest club within the national AAA federation. We have nearly 17,000 employees in 24 states helping more than 18 million members. The strength of our organization is our employees. Bringing together and supporting different cultures, backgrounds, personalities, and strengths creates a team capable of delivering legendary, lifetime service to our members. When we embrace our diversity – we win. All of Us! With our national brand recognition, long-standing reputation since 1900, and constantly growing membership, we are seeking career-minded, service-driven professionals to join our team.

“Through dedicated employees we proudly deliver legendary service and beneficial products that provide members peace of mind and value.”

AAA is an Equal Opportunity Employer

Our organization participates in E-Verify