Prediction Markets Trader - Live P&L & Strategy Builder

Moreton Capital Partners; Singapore; On-site; SGD 120,000 - 200,000; Full time

Benefits offered by this job

Performance-linked compensation

Job summary

Moreton Capital Partners invites experienced traders to join its prediction markets desk in Singapore. You will execute and actively manage a live book across Polymarket and Kalshi, developing and owning a suite of strategies under a Portfolio Manager.

You should bring hands-on trading experience, strong Python skills, and a solid grounding in probability and Bayesian inference. This execution-first role offers real P&L and close collaboration with quants and engineers.

Qualifications

• Direct hands-on experience trading on Polymarket and/or Kalshi; specifics: markets traded, strategies used, edges identified.
• Strong Python skills: pandas, NumPy, backtesting, and API integrations from scratch.
• Solid foundation in probability, statistics, time-series analysis, and Bayesian inference.
• Genuine engagement with the prediction markets ecosystem; knowledge of platform mechanics and recent resolutions.
• Undergraduate or higher degree in a quantitative discipline.

Responsibilities

• Monitor and manage live positions across Polymarket and Kalshi during trading day.
• Execute strategies including dynamic market making, order-flow exploitation, cross-platform pricing arbitrage, momentum, and mean reversion.
• Build and backtest quantitative models using historical tick data, Bayesian methods, NLP for news, and ML-based fair value estimation.
• Collaborate with engineering on execution infrastructure—API integrations, routing, monitoring, and anomaly detection.
• Maintain post-trade analysis: attribution, performance, slippage, and strategy decay.
• Contribute ideas to MCP's broader research agenda on agentic AI and multi-signal alpha.

Skills

Polymarket trading

Kalshi trading

Python (pandas/NumPy)

Probability & stats

Time-series analysis

Bayesian inference

Quant degree

Education

Undergraduate degree in a quantitative discipline

Tools

FIX protocol

Web3 tooling

Polygon RPC

ethers.js

Job description

Moreton Capital Partners invites experienced traders to join its prediction markets desk in Singapore. You will execute and actively manage a live book across Polymarket and Kalshi, developing and owning a suite of strategies under a Portfolio Manager.

You should bring hands-on trading experience, strong Python skills, and a solid grounding in probability and Bayesian inference. This execution-first role offers real P&L and close collaboration with quants and engineers.