Prediction Markets Quant Engineer: Real-Time Forecasting

G-20 Group; Hong Kong; On-site; HKD 1,000,000 - 1,400,000; Full time

Job summary

G-20 Group in Hong Kong is seeking a Prediction Markets Quant Engineer to build research and trading infrastructure for event contracts across venues.

You will design probabilistic models, calibrate probabilities, and translate research into end-to-end systems, including data pipelines, forecasting, execution, and monitoring.

This role blends quant research, engineering, and market microstructure, offering a hands-on environment for shipping robust systems and sophisticated models.

Qualifications

• Degree in quantitative field (e.g., Quantitative Finance, Mathematics, CS, Statistics).
• Strong Python programming and production systems experience.
• Solid foundations in statistics, probability, and ML (calibration, uncertainty).
• Experience building backtests and evaluating predictive models with metrics (log loss, Brier).
• Familiarity with trading concepts: EV, position sizing, risk budgeting, liquidity constraints.

Responsibilities

• Modeling & Research: develop probabilistic models to forecast real-world event outcomes.
• Trading & Market Design: identify mis-pricings, design cross-market strategies, manage risk budgets.
• Engineering & Production: build data pipelines, real-time services, monitoring, and CI/CD.
• Collaboration & Governance: document models, work with trading/risk/compliance, ensure reproducibility.

Skills

Python engineering

Quantitative modeling

Time-series analysis

Machine learning

Communication

Risk management

Education

Bachelor's degree in Quantitative Finance/Math/CS/Statistics

Tools

SQL

Kafka

Airflow

Docker

Kubernetes

Postgres/BigQuery

Job description

G-20 Group in Hong Kong is seeking a Prediction Markets Quant Engineer to build research and trading infrastructure for event contracts across venues.

You will design probabilistic models, calibrate probabilities, and translate research into end-to-end systems, including data pipelines, forecasting, execution, and monitoring.

This role blends quant research, engineering, and market microstructure, offering a hands-on environment for shipping robust systems and sophisticated models.