Senior Health Actuary: Strategic Forecasting & Risk

The Methodist Church in Britain; England; Hybrid; GBP 60,000 - 90,000; Full time

Benefits offered by this job

Flexible working options

Carer-friendly working environment

Job summary

The Methodist Church in Britain seeks a Senior Actuarial Analyst to join the Strategic Value Unit in Central East ICB. You will apply actuarial methods to forecast population need, demand, expenditure and financial risk, informing commissioning, funding and transformation decisions.

Collaboration with health economists and data scientists is central to this role. Strong qualification (AIA/AFA or Fellowship progress) and experience with complex data are required, with emphasis on clear

Qualifications

• AIA/AFA or equivalent actuarial qualification, or substantial progress towards Fellowship.
• Continuing professional development and compliance with actuarial standards.
• Experience applying actuarial methods to financial, population, risk or resource-planning problems.
• Ability to develop forecasts and risk models using complex datasets.

Responsibilities

• Deliver actuarial analysis and modelling to support ICB priorities.
• Develop forecasts of population need, demand, expenditure and financial risk.
• Undertake complex actuarial work from problem definition to communication.
• Contribute to strategic planning, commissioning and financial sustainability.
• Support population-based funding and risk-sharing approaches.
• Assure, validate and peer-review actuarial analyses and models.
• Communicate actuarial evidence and uncertainty to technical and non-technical audiences.
• Contribute to actuarial capability development across the organisation.

Skills

Actuarial methods

Forecasting

Risk modelling

Uncertainty communication

Data synthesis

Education

AIA/AFA or equivalent actuarial qualification

Progress towards Fellowship

Tools

R

Python

SQL

Job description

The Methodist Church in Britain seeks a Senior Actuarial Analyst to join the Strategic Value Unit in Central East ICB. You will apply actuarial methods to forecast population need, demand, expenditure and financial risk, informing commissioning, funding and transformation decisions.

Collaboration with health economists and data scientists is central to this role. Strong qualification (AIA/AFA or Fellowship progress) and experience with complex data are required, with emphasis on clear