Market Forecasting & Analytics Manager

ActewAGL Distribution; Canberra; On-site; AUD 177,000 - 216,000; Full time

Benefits offered by this job

Ongoing professional development

Access to LinkedIn learning

Discounted gym memberships

Free flu vaccinations annually

Free on-site physiotherapy

Access to free wellness support and资源

Job summary

ActewAGL Distribution is seeking a Market Forecasting & Analytics Manager in Canberra to provide specialist forecasting, modelling and analytical capability underpinning wholesale energy strategy and retail pricing decisions.

Reporting to the Wholesale Energy Manager, the role blends wholesale markets, regulation and pricing insights to influence purchasing, pricing strategy and regulatory outcomes through robust analysis.

Qualifications

• Tertiary qualifications in economics, engineering, finance, mathematics or a related discipline, or equivalent industry experience.
• Forecasting and financial modelling experience in electricity and/or gas markets.
• Understanding wholesale energy markets, hedging instruments, and the interaction between wholesale outcomes, retail pricing and regulation.
• Experience supporting regulatory modelling or submissions, including wholesale cost allowance forecasting.
• Advanced capability in complex Excel-based financial models, with exposure to automation or advanced analytics.
• Ability to communicate complex technical analysis clearly to non-technical stakeholders.

Responsibilities

• Develop, maintain and enhance electricity and gas load forecasts to support wholesale purchasing, pricing strategy and regulatory processes.
• Build and manage wholesale market and regulatory financial models, including hedge profile analysis, wholesale exposure modelling, load shape premium impacts, and scenario and sensitivity testing.
• Deliver market scenario analysis to assess the impact of market conditions, policy changes and regulatory outcomes on cost, risk and pricing.
• Provide modelling and analytical support for regulatory submissions and determinations, including wholesale energy cost allowance modelling and supporting documentation.
• Translate complex modelling outputs into clear commercial insights to inform retail pricing strategy, feed in tariffs, discounts and product design.
• Monitor wholesale market trends, regulatory developments and policy changes, assessing impacts through structured forecasting and modelling.
• Ensure forecasting models, methodologies and assumptions are transparent, well documented, auditable and governance aligned.

Skills

Forecasting

Financial modelling

Regulatory understanding

Advanced Excel

Stakeholder communication

Education

Bachelor's degree in economics, engineering, finance or mathematics

Tools

Excel

Job description

Market Forecasting & Analytics Manager

• Ongoing, Full-Time
• Location – Canberra City
• Remuneration: $196,445 plus 15% superannuation
• Opportunity to shape energy pricing and wholesale strategy

We’re seeking a Market Forecasting & Analytics Manager to provide specialist forecasting, modelling and analytical capability that underpins our wholesale energy strategy, regulatory obligations and retail pricing decisions.

Reporting to the Wholesale Energy Manager, this role sits at the intersection of wholesale markets, regulation and retail pricing, translating complex market dynamics into clear, decision ready insights. While the role does not have trading or contracting authority, it plays a critical role in influencing wholesale purchasing, pricing strategy and regulatory outcomes through the quality and robustness of its analysis.

What you’ll be responsible for

• Develop, maintain and enhance electricity and gas load forecasts to support wholesale purchasing, pricing strategy and regulatory processes
• Build and manage wholesale market and regulatory financial models, including hedge profile analysis, wholesale exposure modelling, load shape premium impacts, and scenario and sensitivity testing
• Deliver market scenario analysis to assess the impact of market conditions, policy changes and regulatory outcomes on cost, risk and pricing
• Provide modelling and analytical support for regulatory submissions and determinations, including wholesale energy cost allowance modelling and supporting documentation
• Translate complex modelling outputs into clear commercial insights to inform retail pricing strategy, feed in tariffs, discounts and product design
• Monitor wholesale market trends, regulatory developments and policy changes, assessing impacts through structured forecasting and modelling
• Ensure forecasting models, methodologies and assumptions are transparent, well documented, auditable and governance aligned

For a complete overview of the role and responsibilities, please refer to the attached Position Description.

What you’ll bring

You’ll be a commercially minded analyst with:

• Tertiary qualifications in economics, engineering, finance, mathematics or a related discipline, or equivalent industry experience
• Demonstrated experience in forecasting and financial modelling, preferably within electricity and/or gas markets
• Strong understanding of wholesale energy markets, hedging instruments and the interaction between wholesale outcomes, retail pricing and regulation
• Experience supporting regulatory modelling or submissions, including wholesale cost allowance forecasting
• Advanced capability in complex Excel based financial models, with exposure to automation or advanced analytics
• The ability to communicate complex technical analysis clearly to non-technical stakeholders

If you have any questions about the role or the application process, please contact Macy Dkhar on [e-mail]

Applications closing Date: 28 October 2026

Why ActewAGL?

You’ll be part of an organisation committed to innovation, safety, sustainability and customer outcomes. We offer the opportunity to work on impactful projects that contribute directly to the energy transition in our region, supported by a collaborative and values driven culture.

At ActewAGL , we pride ourselves on putting our people first. Some of the perks you can expect in this role are:

• Ongoing professional development
• Access to LinkedIn learning
• Discounted gym memberships
• Free flu vaccinations annually
• Free on-site physiotherapy
• Access to free wellness support and resources
• Income Protection up to 3 years
• Reward and recognition schemes

We’re an Equal Opportunity Employer and embrace a diverse, inclusive, and respective culture, where people are empowered to fulfil their potential. We welcome people with diverse skills, experiences, perspectives and backgrounds – and encourage applications regardless of gender, age, ethnicity, sexual orientation, disability.