Market Forecasting & Analytics Manager

ActewAGL; Canberra; Hybrid; AUD 177,000 - 216,000; Full time

Benefits offered by this job

Ongoing professional development

Access to LinkedIn learning

Discounted gym memberships

Free flu vaccinations annually

Free on-site physiotherapy

Access to free wellness support and资源

Income Protection up to 3 years

Reward and recognition schemes

Job summary

ActewAGL in Canberra City seeks a Market Forecasting & Analytics Manager to provide forecasting, modelling and analytical capability underpinning our wholesale energy strategy, regulatory obligations and retail pricing decisions.

Reporting to the Wholesale Energy Manager, you will translate complex market dynamics into decision-ready insights, develop load forecasts, build financial models and support regulatory submissions.

Qualifications

• Forecasting and financial modelling experience in electricity/gas markets.
• Understanding of wholesale energy markets and hedging impacts.
• Experience supporting regulatory modelling and submissions.
• Advanced Excel-based models with automation exposure.
• Ability to communicate complex analysis to non-technical stakeholders.

Responsibilities

• Develop, maintain and enhance load forecasts for wholesale needs.
• Build wholesale market and regulatory financial models and analyses.
• Deliver market scenario analyses for policy and pricing impacts.
• Support regulatory submissions with modelling and docs.
• Translate modelling outputs into clear retail pricing insights.
• Monitor market trends and regulatory developments and forecast impacts.
• Ensure forecasting methodologies are transparent, documented and auditable.

Skills

Forecasting

Financial modelling

Wholesale energy markets

Regulatory modelling

Complex analysis communication

Excel automation

Education

Economics/Engineering/Finance/Math degree

Tools

Excel

Job description

Market Forecasting & Analytics Manager

• Ongoing, Full-Time
• Location - Canberra City
• Remuneration: $196,445 plus 15% superannuation
• Opportunity to shape energy pricing and wholesale strategy

We're seeking a Market Forecasting & Analytics Manager to provide specialist forecasting, modelling and analytical capability that underpins our wholesale energy strategy, regulatory obligations and retail pricing decisions.

Reporting to the Wholesale Energy Manager, this role sits at the intersection of wholesale markets, regulation and retail pricing, translating complex market dynamics into clear, decision ready insights. While the role does not have trading or contracting authority, it plays a critical role in influencing wholesale purchasing, pricing strategy and regulatory outcomes through the quality and robustness of its analysis.

What you'll be responsible for

• Develop, maintain and enhance electricity and gas load forecasts to support wholesale purchasing, pricing strategy and regulatory processes
• Build and manage wholesale market and regulatory financial models, including hedge profile analysis, wholesale exposure modelling, load shape premium impacts, and scenario and sensitivity testing
• Deliver market scenario analysis to assess the impact of market conditions, policy changes and regulatory outcomes on cost, risk and pricing
• Provide modelling and analytical support for regulatory submissions and determinations, including wholesale energy cost allowance modelling and supporting documentation
• Translate complex modelling outputs into clear commercial insights to inform retail pricing strategy, feed in tariffs, discounts and product design
• Monitor wholesale market trends, regulatory developments and policy changes, assessing impacts through structured forecasting and modelling
• Ensure forecasting models, methodologies and assumptions are transparent, well documented, auditable and governance aligned

For a complete overview of the role and responsibilities, please refer to the attached Position Description.

What you'll bring

• Tertiary qualifications in economics, engineering, finance, mathematics or a related discipline, or equivalent industry experience
• Demonstrated experience in forecasting and financial modelling, preferably within electricity and/or gas markets
• Strong understanding of wholesale energy markets, hedging instruments and the interaction between wholesale outcomes, retail pricing and regulation
• Experience supporting regulatory modelling or submissions, including wholesale cost allowance forecasting
• Advanced capability in complex Excel based financial models, with exposure to automation or advanced analytics
• The ability to communicate complex technical analysis clearly to non-technical stakeholders

Applications closing Date: 28 October 2026

Why ActewAGL?

You'll be part of an organisation committed to innovation, safety, sustainability and customer outcomes. We offer the opportunity to work on impactful projects that contribute directly to the energy transition in our region, supported by a collaborative and values driven culture.

At ActewAGL, we pride ourselves on putting our people first. Some of the perks you can expect in this role are:

• Ongoing professional development
• Access to LinkedIn learning
• Discounted gym memberships
• Free flu vaccinations annually
• Free on-site physiotherapy
• Access to free wellness support and resources
• Income Protection up to 3 years
• Reward and recognition schemes

We're an Equal Opportunity Employer and embrace a diverse, inclusive, and respective culture, where people are empowered to fulfil their potential. We welcome people with diverse skills, experiences, perspectives and backgrounds - and encourage applications regardless of gender, age, ethnicity, sexual orientation, disability.