Data Analytics & Commercial Insights Lead
AGL Energy
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Benefits offered by this job
Job summary
AGL Energy is seeking a high‑impact Data Analytics & Commercial Insights Lead to deliver market intelligence, forecasting and portfolio valuation across electricity, gas and environmental products. You will lead modelling efforts, drive data‑driven decision making, and partner with Finance, Trading and Strategy teams to maximise portfolio value and manage risk.
You will oversee forecasting methodologies, improve analytical standards, and uplift commercial capability across the Energy Markets &
Qualifications
- Strong analytical, commercial and problem‑solving skills.
- Ability to communicate complex analytical outcomes to non-technical stakeholders.
- Experience in front‑office, market operations, trading, portfolio management, or similar energy markets is highly desirable.
Responsibilities
- Provide analytical and commercial support for strategic, operational and investment decisions.
- Translate complex modelling outputs into clear, concise insights for senior stakeholders.
- Identify value drivers, portfolio risks and optimisation opportunities across energy market activities.
- Develop scenario analysis and sensitivity modelling to support planning and decision‑making.
- Support business case development, investment evaluation and asset valuation through robust analysis.
Skills
Education
Tools
Job description
Join the change. Electrify your future! We've been proudly Aussie since 1837, always finding new ways to innovate in energy and essential services. Now, we're moving towards a sustainable future through electrification and investing in renewable energy—and we’d like you to join us. Whether you're on-site, in the office, or somewhere in between, you'll find opportunities to grow your career here. You'll work with a team that's passionate about powering Australian lives, in a culture that values inclusivity, respect, and learning. Help us create a cleaner energy future, and we’ll back you every step of the way as you build your career. Join the change. Electrify your future.
The Data Analytics & Commercial Insights Lead is responsible for delivering market intelligence, commercial insights, forecasting and portfolio valuation analysis that supports strategic, operational and investment decision‑making across the Energy Markets & Development portfolio. The role provides leadership in forecasting methodologies, analytical standards and data‑driven decision‑making, ensuring stakeholders have access to trusted insights that optimise portfolio value, manage risk and support long‑term growth. Working closely with Finance, Trading, Commercial and Strategy teams, the role will lead the continuous improvement of forecasting, valuation and analytical models across electricity, gas and environmental products, translating complex market and modelling outputs into actionable insights that drive value creation, risk management and portfolio optimisation. In addition, the role will support the uplift of electricity market knowledge and commercial capability across the broader Energy Markets & Development function, strengthening knowledge transfer, collaboration and alignment between Finance, Trading, Portfolio Analysis, Commercial and Development teams.
Provide analytical and commercial support for strategic, operational and investment decisions.
Translate complex modelling outputs into clear, concise and actionable commercial insights for senior stakeholders.
Identify key value drivers, portfolio risks and optimisation opportunities across energy market activities.
Develop scenario analysis and sensitivity modelling to support business planning and decision‑making.
Support evaluation of new products, investment opportunities and commercial initiatives through data‑driven analysis.
Support business case development, investment evaluation, asset valuation and capital allocation decisions through robust commercial analysis and modelling.
Prepare presentations, reports and recommendations for senior leadership and business stakeholders.
Develop and maintain a forward‑looking view of electricity, gas and environmental markets to support commercial strategy, portfolio optimisation and investment decision‑making.
Monitor market, policy and regulatory developments and assess their potential impact on portfolio performance, asset valuations and commercial opportunities.
Develop and promote a deeper understanding of electricity market dynamics, pricing drivers, trading strategies, portfolio risks and value drivers across the Energy Markets & Development team.
Identify emerging risks, market trends and value creation opportunities, providing proactive recommendations to senior stakeholders.
Support the development of portfolio strategies through analysis of market fundamentals, pricing dynamics, supply‑demand balances and competitive market developments.
Provide independent challenge and insight on market assumptions used in forecasting, valuation and investment decision‑making processes.
Translate complex market developments into concise and actionable insights for Finance, Trading, Commercial, Development and Executive stakeholders.
Contribute to business planning, investment evaluations and strategic initiatives by providing evidence‑based market and commercial analysis.
Provide thought leadership and independent challenge to valuation, forecasting and budgeting approaches across electricity, gas and environmental products, supporting BAU teams in continuously improving methodologies, assumptions, scenario analysis and insight generation.
Improve model architecture, transparency and usability to support commercial decision‑making and portfolio optimisation.
Review and challenge key assumptions, sensitivities and value drivers to enhance forecasting accuracy and stakeholder confidence.
Ensure models appropriately reflect market dynamics and pricing fundamentals, trading and hedging strategies, contract positions, portfolio exposures and commercial opportunities and risks.
Support ongoing model evolution in response to changing market conditions, regulatory developments and business strategies.
Identify opportunities to automate processes, improve reporting efficiency and strengthen analytical capability across the portfolio.
Collaborate with Finance, Trading, Commercial and Strategy teams to ensure models remain aligned with business requirements and decision‑making needs.
Support the uplift of electricity market knowledge and commercial capability across Energy Markets & Development.
Build strong working relationships with Trading, Portfolio Analysis, Commercial, Finance and Development teams to enable knowledge sharing and alignment of market views.
Facilitate the transfer of electricity market knowledge, including pricing fundamentals, market drivers, trading concepts, contract positions and portfolio risk considerations.
Work with subject matter experts across the business to embed practical electricity market understanding into forecasting, valuation and commercial analysis processes.
Promote consistent use of market insights, modelling assumptions and analytical approaches across relevant business teams.
Help translate specialist trading and market concepts into commercially relevant insights that can be understood and applied by Finance and Senior stakeholders.
Drive improvements in analytical methodologies, modelling standards and data governance practices.
Leverage data visualisation, reporting and automation tools to improve business insights and decision‑making.
Identify opportunities to simplify, automate and enhance existing forecasting and reporting processes.
Promote self‑service analytics and reporting capability across Finance, Trading, Commercial and Strategy teams.
Lead knowledge‑sharing initiatives that improve stakeholder understanding of electricity markets, forecasting methodologies and portfolio analytics.
Degree in Engineering, Analytics, Computer or Data Science, Mathematics, Finance, or a related field.
Strong understanding of energy markets, including electricity, gas and environmental products.
Strong understanding of electricity market fundamentals, including wholesale pricing, market drivers, trading strategies, contract positions and portfolio risk.
Experience in a front‑office, market operations, trading, portfolio management, or commercial energy markets environment is highly desirable.
Strong analytical, commercial and problem‑solving skills.
Advanced financial modelling, forecasting and valuation experience.
Experience working with large datasets and complex market information.
Ability to communicate complex analytical outcomes to non‑technical stakeholders.
Ability to build commercial capability in others by translating technical market concepts into practical business insights.
Proficiency in Excel and financial models; experience with Power BI, SQL, Python or other analytics tools highly regarded.
Ability to engage with subject matter experts and convert specialist market knowledge into scalable analytical frameworks, reports and decision‑support tools.
- Flexible working options including hybrid work.
- Discounts on energy, telcos and solar plans.
- Participate in Energise - our reward & recognition program.
- Play an active role in our diversity & inclusion initiatives.
- Novated leasing and Electric Vehicle subscriptions.
- Access to study assistance, AGL’s share purchase plan and insurance deals.
* Benefits may change over time and vary based on location.
Application deadline: Monday 5 October 2026
At AGL, we value diversity and welcome applicants from various backgrounds, including Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander peoples, individuals with disabilities, culturally diverse individuals, and members of the LGBTQ+ community.
AGL is dedicated to maintaining a diverse workforce and encourages applicants to share their lived experiences. To learn more visit: www.agl.com.au/careers
AGL is proud to be a WORK180 Endorsed Employer for All Women.
At AGL, we use some AI‑enabled tools to support recruitment administration. All hiring decisions are made by hiring leaders and Talent Solutions professionals, with human oversight throughout. Our pre‑employment screening process includes a Nationally Coordinated Criminal History Check and a medical assessment if necessary. The information provided as part of your application to AGL will be managed in accordance with the AGL Privacy Policy.
AGL does not accept agency submissions unless approval has been granted by a member of the Talent Solutions team. Candidates submitted by an agency without approval will not be considered by AGL.
Location Docklands VIC 3008
At AGL, we believe energy makes life better. That’s why we’re passionate about powering the way Australians live, move and work. Like you, we believe that the world is going through extraordinary challenges. We don’t shy away from the tough questions and we consider the answers carefully. We work in partnership with our customers and communities, and take action to shape a better future for all. As life changes, we join the change, constantly evolving over more than 188 years. Today we bring all that know‑how to transform how Australians produce, share and consume energy. We’re investing in new ideas, partnerships and infrastructure – renewing and expanding our portfolio of sources and products to help make them more sustainable, reliable, affordable and useful. We’ll continue to innovate in energy and other essential services to enhance the way Australians live, and to help preserve the world around us for future generations.
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