Prediction Markets Trader

Fionics; New York (NY); On-site; USD 180,000 - 260,000; Full time

Benefits offered by this job

Top compensation

Autonomy to run own book

Fast-moving firm

Job summary

Fionics in New York is seeking a high-calibre trader focused on prediction markets. This ground-floor seat on a mandate still wide open offers upside and ownership. The edge is real; the field is thin; your decisions move real money.

You could be trading event contracts across platforms, building resolvable-outcome models, and managing liquidity with discretion or systematic methods. A track record in prediction markets and strong probabilistic reasoning help you stand out.

Qualifications

• Strong track record in prediction or event-driven markets.
• Excellent probabilistic reasoning and market intuition.
• Systematic coding and modelling skills.

Responsibilities

• Trade event contracts across exchanges and arenas (e.g., Polymarket, Kalshi).
• Build models for resolvable-outcome markets (elections, sports, macro).
• Provide liquidity and manage inventory across venues.
• Find edge in markets that others overlook.

Skills

Trading

Probabilistic thinking

Quant modelling

Coding

Job description

One of the most exciting names in the space right now. Young, fast, and well-backed. Not a legacy shop protecting old edge - they're building new edge, and prediction markets are a priority, not a side project. They want to own this space before the rest of the street wakes up to it.

The opportunity

A ground-floor seat on a mandate that's still wide open. The edge is real, the field is thin, and whoever gets in now helps shape the whole effort.

Style-agnostic. Discretionary or systematic. Making or taking. What matters is that you can be consistently right when real money is on the line.

What you might be doing

• Trading event contracts across Polymarket, Kalshi and similar
• Building models for resolvable-outcome markets - elections, sports, macro, anything with a settled answer
• Providing liquidity and managing inventory across venues
• Finding edge in markets most of the street still doesn't respect

What sets you apart

• A real track record of making money in prediction or event-driven markets
• Sharp probabilistic reasoning and a feel for where the crowd is wrong
• Systematic: strong coding and modelling. Discretionary: judgement and conviction under pressure

On offer

• Top-of-market comp with upside that reflects what you generate
• Capital, infrastructure and autonomy to run your own book
• A firm that takes these markets seriously and moves fast