Pharma Forecasting Expert - Launch Curves

Obsidian; San Francisco (CA); On-site; USD 138,000 - 248,000; Part time

Job summary

Mercor is partnering with a biotech and pharma research team on expert human-evaluation work, offering a paid pilot with potential ongoing engagement. We seek a pharma commercial/forecasting expert to create and critique rubrics for drug analysis and to evaluate launch curves and forecast defensibility.

The role is remote for US-based professionals, spanning roughly 10–20 hours across 1–2 weeks, with opportunities for recurring collaboration for top contributors.

Qualifications

• 5+ years in pharma commercial forecasting, analytics, or strategy.
• Familiarity with biotech/pharma development programs.
• Experience building or critiquing drug launch / uptake models.

Responsibilities

• Create and critique rubrics that analyze commercial drugs and drug-development programs.
• Build or critique a launch curve (uptake, peak share, trajectory).
• Judge whether a commercial forecast's assumptions are defensible (analogs, ramp, peak, loss of exclusivity).
• Apply this across the pilot's set of drug launches.

Skills

Pharma forecasting

Rubric development

Drug launch modeling

Job description

Mercor is partnering with a biotech and pharma research team on expert human-evaluation work - creating and critiquing rubrics that analyze commercial drugs and drug-development programs. We're seeking a pharma commercial / forecasting expert for a paid pilot, with the potential to continue as the work scales.

Responsibilities

• Create and critique rubrics that analyze commercial drugs and drug-development programs
• Build or critique a launch curve (uptake, peak share, trajectory)
• Judge whether a commercial forecast's assumptions (analogs, ramp, peak, loss of exclusivity) are defensible
• Apply this across the pilot's set of drug launches

Requirements

• US-based pharma commercial / forecasting professional (people from pharma sales teams can work here too)
• Familiarity with biotech/pharma development programs
• Experience building or critiquing drug launch / uptake models
• 5+ years in pharma commercial forecasting, analytics, or strategy

Engagement Details

• Duration: Approximately 10-20 hours over a 1-2 week pilot
• Remote - US-based

Why Participate

• Help improve expert AI evaluation of drugs and drug-development programs
• Recurring engagement for strong contributors