Lead Prediction Markets & Index Design

Time Seventeen; Hong Kong; Hybrid; HKD 1,000,000 - 1,600,000; Full time

Job summary

Time Seventeen seeks a senior professional to lead prediction-market strategy, market operations, and delivery. You will own the prediction-market roadmap, coordinating research, engineering, and operations to create credible event-risk prices integrated into Time Seventeen’s indices and risk workflows.

The role requires hands-on leadership, strong analytical judgment, and experience turning institutional needs into well-defined markets and dependable workflows for geopolitical and catastrophe

Qualifications

• Demonstrated experience in prediction markets, trading products, market operations, or closely related market infrastructure.
• Experience leading a team or cross-functional initiative from an ambiguous problem to a working market or operational system.
• Strong understanding of probability, market microstructure, liquidity incentives, collateral, oracle design, and event settlement.
• Ability to analyze market data with Python, SQL, spreadsheets, or comparable tools and explain uncertainty and limitations clearly.
• Practical judgment about manipulation, operational failure, smart-contract dependencies, and the difference between event probabilities and insured losses.
• Ability to write precise market specifications, coordinate engineers and researchers, and communicate with institutional partners.
• High ownership, intellectual honesty, and an interest in connecting prediction markets with indices, DeFi, insurance, and reinsurance.

Responsibilities

• Prioritize market coverage and product initiatives using institutional use cases, data availability, liquidity, and operational feasibility.
• Define event questions, observation windows, authoritative sources, resolution rules, dispute procedures, and exceptional-event handling with research and engineering colleagues.
• Evaluate order-book and automated-market-maker designs, fees, incentives, collateral, and settlement dependencies with the founders and technical team.
• Monitor spreads, depth, volume, concentration, stale prices, and market integrity; investigate anomalies and establish escalation procedures.
• Set standards for assessing market-implied probabilities, forecast calibration, source provenance, and suitability for index construction across horizons.
• Coordinate exchange, oracle, data-provider, and DeFi integrations, with explicit trust assumptions and acceptance criteria.
• Develop partner relationships and pilots; translate feedback from institutional, insurance, reinsurance, and actuarial colleagues into actionable priorities.
• Work with qualified legal and risk specialists on jurisdictional access, distribution constraints, and proposed product feasibility.
• Lead team planning, hiring input, documentation, launch reviews, and incident follow-up with clear ownership and measurable outcomes.

Skills

Prediction markets

Market operations

Team leadership

Market design

Python

SQL

Tools

Python

SQL

Job description

Time Seventeen seeks a senior professional to lead prediction-market strategy, market operations, and delivery. You will own the prediction-market roadmap, coordinating research, engineering, and operations to create credible event-risk prices integrated into Time Seventeen’s indices and risk workflows.

The role requires hands-on leadership, strong analytical judgment, and experience turning institutional needs into well-defined markets and dependable workflows for geopolitical and catastrophe