Research Scientist, Frontier AI Forecasting and Strategic Foresight, DeepMind Institute

Google LLC; Greater London; On-site; GBP 150,000 - 190,000; Full time

Job summary

Google DeepMind in London is seeking a Research Scientist to lead the Frontier AI Forecasting and Strategic Foresight program, combining rigorous research with practical program execution.

You will shape questions for leadership, forecast capability trajectories, and translate findings into memos and briefings that inform strategy, safety frameworks, and national security engagements, collaborating with researchers and policy partners.

Qualifications

• PhD or equivalent advanced experience in a relevant technical, quantitative, or social-scientific field or equivalent practical research experience.
• 3 years of experience initiating, scoping, and executing independent research agendas or leading academic projects.
• Experience in judgmental forecasting, statistical modeling, or building automated AI forecasting tools.
• Published research, policy reports, or executive briefings on AI forecasting, AI governance, or AI geopolitics.
• Deep understanding of AGI development and its technical, geopolitical, and societal implications.
• Track record of research on the future trajectory of AI or its impacts.
• Strong quantitative, qualitative, or technical methods applied to questions about technological trajectories, governance, or strategic risk.
• Demonstrated ability to build new, high-impact programs in complex organisations, build trust with technical researchers, subject‑matter experts, and executive leadership.

Responsibilities

• Envision, build, and lead DMI's frontier AI forecasting and strategic foresight program, combining rigorous analysis with program execution.
• Identify the strategic and governance questions DeepMind leadership will face, and frame them early enough for analysis to shape the answer.
• Forecast capability trajectories, recursive self-improvement, and their governance and geopolitical implications, using judgmental and statistical forecasting, scenario analysis, and comparative analysis, with Research and Development (R&D), safety, and external researchers.
• Translate findings into memos, briefings, and publications that inform the Frontier Safety Framework, executive strategy, and national security engagements.
• Build AI-assisted forecasting tools and external partnerships that scale the team's foresight capacity and contribute to the wider field.

Skills

Forecasting

Strategic foresight

Research leadership

Publications

Education

PhD or equivalent

Tools

Forecasting tools

Job description

Research Scientist, Frontier AI Forecasting and Strategic Foresight, DeepMind Institute

Share Research Scientist, Frontier AI Forecasting and Strategic Foresight, DeepMind Institute

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• PhD or equivalent advanced experience in a relevant technical, quantitative, or social-scientific field or equivalent practical research experience.


• 3 years of experience initiating, scoping, and executing independent research agendas or leading academic projects.

Preferred qualifications:

• Experience in judgmental forecasting, statistical modeling, or building automated AI forecasting tools.


• Published research, policy reports, or executive briefings on AI forecasting, AI governance, or AI geopolitics.


• Deep understanding of AGI development and its technical, geopolitical, and societal implications.


• Track record of research on the future trajectory of AI or its impacts.


• Strong quantitative, qualitative, or technical methods applied to questions about technological trajectories, governance, or strategic risk.


• Demonstrated ability to build new, high-impact programs in complex organisations, build trust with technical researchers, subject‑matter experts, and executive leadership.

About the job

Artificial intelligence will be one of humanity’s most transformative inventions. At Google DeepMind, we are a pioneering AI lab with exceptional interdisciplinary teams focused on advancing AI development to solve complex global challenges and accelerate high-quality product innovation for billions of users. We use our technologies for widespread public benefit and scientific discovery, ensuring safety and ethics are always our highest priority.

We are pushing the boundaries across multiple domains. Our global teams offer diverse learning opportunities and varied career pathways for those driven to achieve exceptional results through collective effort.

Responsibilities

• Envision, build, and lead DMI's frontier AI forecasting and strategic foresight program, combining rigorous analysis with program execution.


• Identify the strategic and governance questions DeepMind leadership will face, and frame them early enough for analysis to shape the answer.


• Forecast capability trajectories, recursive self-improvement, and their governance and geopolitical implications, using judgmental and statistical forecasting, scenario analysis, and comparative analysis, with Research and Development (R&D), safety, and external researchers.


• Translate findings into memos, briefings, and publications that inform the Frontier Safety Framework, executive strategy, and national security engagements.


• Build AI-assisted forecasting tools and external partnerships that scale the team's foresight capacity and contribute to the wider field.

Google is proud to be an equal opportunity and affirmative action employer. We are committed to building a workforce that is representative of the users we serve, creating a culture of belonging, and providing an equal employment opportunity regardless of race, creed, color, religion, gender, sexual orientation, gender identity/expression, national origin, disability, age, genetic information, veteran status, marital status, pregnancy or related condition (including breastfeeding), expecting or parents-to-be, criminal histories consistent with legal requirements, or any other basis protected by law. See also Google's EEO Policy , Know your rights: workplace discrimination is illegal , Belonging at Google , and How we hire .

Google is a global company and, in order to facilitate efficient collaboration and communication globally, English proficiency is a requirement for all roles unless stated otherwise in the job posting.

Equity is granted exclusively and discretionarily by Alphabet Inc. on the basis of an agreement concluded between you and Alphabet Inc. Alphabet Inc. is your sole contractual partner with respect to equity grants. GSU grants are not guaranteed, are discretionary, are subject to approval by the Alphabet Inc. board of directors or its delegate, the terms of the relevant Alphabet Inc. stock plan, and your grant agreement. They have no impact on statutory payments. Current or past grants do not convey an acquired right.