Prediction Markets Quantitative Analyst — End-to-End Research Lead

Moreton Capital Partners; United Kingdom; On-site; GBP 90,000 - 130,000; Full time

Job summary

Moreton Capital Partners is seeking a Quantitative Analyst to own the research function for a dedicated prediction markets fund. You will develop alpha signals, build and validate models, and work with traders and engineers to move ideas to live deployment across events such as sports, macro, and geopolitical data.

This ground-up role offers genuine ownership, access to senior decision-makers, and the chance to see your models run in a real portfolio, with emphasis on rigorous research and

Qualifications

• Undergraduate or postgraduate degree in data science, CS, math, stats, OR related quantitative field.
• Strong Python skills with pandas, NumPy, scikit-learn; experience building backtesting or research frameworks.
• Solid foundation in statistics, probability, time-series analysis, and ML; apply rigor beyond libraries.

Responsibilities

• Perform rigorous quantitative research to identify new alpha signals across prediction market categories — sports, macro, political, financial, and environmental events
• Own the end-to-end research process in close collaboration with the Portfolio Manager: data sourcing and ingestion, exploratory analysis, methodology design, implementation, backtesting, and live performance evaluation
• Build and maintain data pipelines drawing on alternative and traditional data sources — market microstructure, public resolution data, news and sentiment feeds, sports analytics databases, and fundamental datasets
• Develop and improve models for fair value estimation, calibration analysis, and systematic strategy construction
• Extend and improve MCP's internal research platform — tools, libraries, and workflows that make the whole team faster and more rigorous
• Maintain a systematic review of the academic and practitioner literature on prediction markets, sports analytics, Bayesian forecasting, and related fields
• Produce clear, structured research outputs — documented methodology, performance attribution, and actionable recommendations — that can be directly used by traders

Skills

Python

Statistics

Time-series analysis

Machine learning

Independent work

Education

Quantitative degree

Tools

Backtesting

APIs

Job description

Moreton Capital Partners is seeking a Quantitative Analyst to own the research function for a dedicated prediction markets fund. You will develop alpha signals, build and validate models, and work with traders and engineers to move ideas to live deployment across events such as sports, macro, and geopolitical data.

This ground-up role offers genuine ownership, access to senior decision-makers, and the chance to see your models run in a real portfolio, with emphasis on rigorous research and