7040 - Head of Justice System Modelling and Head of Agile, Analytical Improvements and Review

Ministry of Justice; London; On-site; GBP 45,000 - 60,000; Full time

Job summary

The Ministry of Justice is seeking an analytical leader to coordinate vital analytical work influencing decisions in the justice sector. The successful candidate will manage a team focusing on demand modelling for courts and prisons, helping drive evidence-based policy decisions. This role is pivotal in fostering relationships with key stakeholders while ensuring robust analysis is delivered to meet the department's critical needs. This is a full-time opportunity with various flexible working options available.

Qualifications

• Experience in managing high-profile analytical projects.
• Capability to work with diverse data and teams.
• Understanding of the justice system and departmental priorities.

Responsibilities

• Lead a team on critical analytical work for the justice system.
• Develop strategies for effective data management and analysis.
• Foster an inclusive and high-performing team culture.

Skills

Leadership

Analytical Skills

Communication

Education

Technical specialism in analytical professions (GES, GORS, GSR, GSS)

Job description

Full Time, Part Time, Part Time/Job Share, Flexible Working

as a whole. It provides the department with high quality modelling and analysis on future demand in the criminal justice system from courts to probation, as well as demand into civil and family courts and tribunals, and insightful analysis to support understanding of what is happening in the system. The work is crucial for departmental decision making on managing the demand in courts, prisons and probation, as well as decisions about policies related to courts.

Key Responsibilities

• Lead the team to deliver a high-profile programme of analytical work on demand into courts, prisons and probation, and the drivers of that demand. This includes the department’s business critical projections of the prison population, court demand and income. The jobholder will deliver the analytical work to support the Independent Review of Criminal Courts and court-related policies. The work is business critical for the department’s decision-making on how to manage demand in the justice system based on robust analysis and evidence, while also building in operational and policy intelligence. The jobholder will also be responsible for leading the department’s liaison with Home Office, Crown Prosecution Service (CPS), No10 and HM Treasury (HMT) to ensure there is a shared cross government understanding of demand into the CJS.
• Develop a new CJS insights function to enable rapid analysis and insight on what is currently happening in the criminal justice system.
• Lead the team providing modelling and analysis on departmental income from court fees and fines to inform the department on likely future income.
• Lead the team to provide modelling of demand into the Office of the Public Guardian (OPG) from Lasting Power of Attorney applications as well as ad hoc analysis such as analysis of deputyships
• Foster an inclusive, supportive and high performing culture.

This role reports to Chris Drane, the Director of Analysis, and sits in the Analysis Directorate. The role has direct line management of 6 x G6s with an overall leadership span of around 40 FTE.The team provide analytical support across the department through use of flexible resource providing an analytical quality assurance service and making innovative use of new data, tools and techniques to improve the quality of analysis. The team’s key focus is on the department’s most business-critical analysis.

The post holder will play a crucial role in prioritising flexible resource to facilitate delivery of business-critical analysis, reviewing and challenging business-critical analysis and exploring better ways to undertake analysis.

They will need to work in a multi-disciplinary manner, in close partnership with Policy Directors and the Director of Analysis to understand departmental priorities, and with data teams to exploit potential new services and data flows .

Key Responsibilities

• Lead a team that provides support for teams undertaking business-critical analysis through the allocation of flexible resource, undertaking analytical assurance and innovating in the use of new data.
• Lead in developing and delivering a team that provides flexible resource for projects currently not deliverable due to resource constraints within established analytical teams. The post holder will be responsible for ensuring the right projects are prioritised and resources are effectively allocated to facilitate analytical teams delivering their business-critical work.
• Lead in developing and delivering a strategy that ensures the departments business-critical analysis is fit for purpose, through assurance of analysis that underpins the departments most important decisions. The post holder will be responsible for ensuring analysis is robust and the risks and uncertainties are understood and communicated effectively.
• Lead in developing and delivering a strategy through which fundamental knowledge gaps are filled, improving the precision, consistency and understanding of our analytical estimates.
• Create a way of working where departmental analytical needs are prioritised: the justice system is in a state of flux and in turn business priorities rapidly change with urgent analysis often needed to support this. The post holder will need to build a team that has the capability, expertise and knowledge to facilitate this flexible way of working.
• Develop productive relationships with a range of stakeholders aimed at delivering more impactful analysis, including building close working relationships with Policy Directors to understand their needs and Service Transformation colleagues to ensure the right data underpins key decisions.
• Foster an inclusive, supportive and high performing culture.

Please view our candidate information pack for full details about the role, key responsibilities person specification, and the criteria you will be assessed against throughout the recruitment process. If you are interested in this exciting opportunity, and feel that you meet the criteria, we would welcome your application.

Contact Information

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Job Description Attachment

Candidate Information Pack - JSM AAIR.pdf(Job Description Supporting Documents)

Accessible Candidate Information Pack.docx(Job Description Supporting Documents 2)

We will assess your experience for this role via the following methods

CV or Work History, Statement of Suitability

Evidence of Experience

CV or Work History, Statement of Suitability

Technical

Technical Questions Application Form Question Word Limit

250

You will need to be an analytical professional of the requisite experience and need to hold (or be capable of holding) a technical specialism in one of the analytical professions (GES, GORS, GSR, GSS)

Interview stage assessments

Interview Dates

Week commencing 29th July and week commecning 4th August 2025

Behaviours

Leadership

Communicating and Influencing

Managing a Quality Service

Changing and Improving

Strengths

Strengths will be assessed but these are not shared in advance. To learn more about Strengths and how they are assessed please click here .

Other Assessments

Which assessment methods will be used?

Presentation

Use of Artificial Intelligence (Al)

You must ensure that any evidence submitted as part of your application, including your CV, statement of suitability and behaviour examples, are truthful and factually accurate. Please note that plagiarism can include presenting the ideas and experiences of others, or generated by artificial intelligence, as your own.