Lead Statistical Modeler – NAR

Volkswagen Group of America; Canada; Hybrid; CAD 80,000 - 120,000; Full time

Job summary

An established industry player is seeking a Lead Statistical Modeler to spearhead Consumer Credit Loss Forecasting initiatives across North America. This pivotal role involves designing and implementing predictive models that guide strategic decisions impacting credit policies and account management strategies. The ideal candidate will have extensive experience in predictive analytics and statistical modeling, coupled with strong communication skills to effectively engage with senior leadership and external auditors. Join a dynamic team committed to innovation and excellence in the financial services sector, where your expertise will directly influence business outcomes and drive success.

Qualifications

• 7+ years in Predictive Analytics or Statistical Modeling in financial services.
• Strong knowledge of statistical modeling concepts and tools.

Responsibilities

• Lead statistical modeling projects for consumer credit loss forecasting.
• Support quarterly audits and collaborate with accounting for credit loss provisions.

Skills

Predictive Analytics

Statistical Modeling

Data Analysis

Communication Skills

Analytical Thinking

Education

Bachelor's Degree in a related field

Master's Degree in a related field

Tools

SAS Enterprise Guide

Python

R

SQL

Tableau

Job description

Job Description - Lead Statistical Modeler – NAR (VCI003535)

Primary Location

Canada

Volkswagen Financial Services, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Volkswagen Group, is the trusted key to mobility for its brand partners. We are committed to supporting the Audi, Ducati, and Volkswagen brands and their Dealers, specializing in providing accessible mobility solutions for its Customers. The company’s offerings include Retail Leasing, Retail Financing, Commercial Financing for new and used vehicles, and End-of-Term vehicle disposition.

Role Summary:

The Lead Statistical Modeler will lead all Consumer Credit Loss Forecasting initiatives for the North American Region portfolios (US / Canada). Under the guidance of the Statistical Modeling Manager, the person in this role will be responsible for the design, development, implementation, and validation of predictive models that enable the company to efficiently and effectively manage the performance of retail and lease portfolios. This is a high-visibility role that will require comfort communicating with Senior Leadership and External Auditors frequently. The person in this role will be key in providing strategic guidance to steer management towards data-driven business decisions that impact credit policies, account management strategies, and credit loss provisioning.

Role Responsibilities:

• Lead US and Canadian Statistical Modeling Projects – Deeply involved in all efforts related to the design, development, governance, testing, documenting, and execution of the IFRS9 impairment models for the consumer credit portfolio used for calculating expected credit loss (ECL) through probability of defaults (PD), loss given default (LGD), and exposure at default (EAD) based upon customer payment and delinquency behavior, credit profile, macro-economic trends, and other portfolio and market dynamics (40%)
• Quarterly Audits - Support all quarterly audit-related activities for both US & Canadian portfolios including, but not limited to, providing external auditors with all supporting data and documentation to ensure smooth quarter closings (20%)
• Support Risk Management’s efforts to collaborate with Accounting and Controlling in establishing adequate credit loss provisions for VCI’s & VWFS’s consumer and commercial credit portfolios. Conduct sensitivity tests on the models to accommodate qualitative/quantitative overlays related to the economy, used car market volatility, changes in credit policies, collection strategies, and other factors that may affect future portfolio performance. Explain to Controlling executive Stakeholders variances in monthly provisions, vs. Budget and vs. Planning Round. (20%)
• Support and coach junior team members in enhancing technical and communication skills (5%)
• As needed, assist the Consumer Credit Risk Portfolio Management team in analyzing credit risk data and emerging trends to develop, test, and optimize risk factors related to credit and collection policies; also assist in validating and testing the effectiveness and the impact of credit policies and new products/programs on portfolio delinquencies and losses; this includes the development of new reports or modification of existing reports (5%)
• Represent the Risk Management consumer credit team in the Data Stewards and Resource Sub-committee. Work with the data stewards to develop data quality validation processes and partner with cross-functional users of the data warehouse to identify operational and reporting data quality issues. As needed, work with IT and the business in identifying solutions and testing data fixes (5%)
• Support ad hoc requests in areas related to consumer portfolio risk (5%)

Experience:

Required –

• 7+ years of professional experience, 3+ years working in a Predictive Analytics or Statistical Modeling-related role in the financial services industry; experience in Risk Management a plus

Education:

Required –

General Skills:

• Ability to conduct large scale projects and research through all stages: concept formulation, definition of metrics, determination of appropriate methodology, research evaluation, and final research report
• Demonstrated understanding and experience with relational datasets, data warehouses, data mining, and data analysis techniques
• Ability to effectively communicate technical subjects to business stakeholders and audiences who have limited background in mathematics or statistics
• Analytical and conceptual thinking – ability to understand business problems and develop data-driven solutions
• Comfortable coaching junior team members in coding and statistical modeling

Specialized Skills:

Required –

• Advanced knowledge of concepts, principles, standards, practices, and techniques relating to statistical modeling, analysis, interpretation, and communication
• Demonstrable strong working knowledge of SAS Enterprise Guide, ability to write/edit macros and automate processes
• Familiarity with other Analytics/Data Science tools: R, Stata, Python, RapidMiner, SageMaker; Experience converting SAS processes to Python a plus
• Ability to work effectively across portfolio risk teams and functional areas teams
• Excellent communication and presentation skills targeting a variety of audiences; experience working with external auditors a plus
• Experience writing SQL queries and utilizing BI tools like Tableau for visualizations and reporting
• Experience with Model Risk Management
• Experience with financial reporting standards (IFRS9 / IAS / CECL) and stress testing techniques
• Familiarity with Project Management/scoping timelines for large-scale projects
• Knowledge of US/Canadian consumer behaviors as relates to macro-economic trends

Work Flexibility:

• Minimal travel – 5%
• Flexibility to work remotely on an as-needed basis
• Role may require occasional/seasonal work outside of normal working hours.

Volkswagen Financial Services is committed to diversity and inclusion in the workplace. All qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, color, religion, sex, sexual orientation, family status, gender identity, gender expression, national origin, age, disability, or any other characteristic protected by federal or local laws. Volkswagen Financial Services is committed to accommodating applicants and employees with disabilities. Should you require an accommodation during the recruitment and selection process please advise in advance.