Senior Portfolio Forecasting Analyst

Bluefin Resources; Sydney; Hybrid; AUD 140,000 - 190,000; Full time

Job summary

Bluefin Resources Pty is seeking a Senior Portfolio Forecasting Analyst in Sydney to help shape the lending strategy by forecasting portfolio evolution over 12–24 months and communicating commercial implications to executives.

You will collaborate with Risk, Finance, Operations and Product to deliver forward-looking insights, influence strategic decisions and build a new capability with high visibility across the organisation.

Qualifications

• 5+ years' experience in an analytical, commercial or strategic role.
• Experience across stress testing, portfolio-level scenario/sensitivity forecasting, modelling and problem-solving capability.
• Advanced Excel and SQL skills a must.
• Experience with R, SAS, Python or similar analytical tools a big plus.
• The ability to translate complex analysis into practical business recommendations.
• Strong stakeholder management and communication skills.

Responsibilities

• Develop and maintain portfolio forecasting models that project portfolio growth, composition, performance and expected losses.
• Build scenario and sensitivity analyses to assess the impact of changes in credit policy, pricing, channel mix, customer behaviour and economic conditions.
• Partner with Finance to incorporate portfolio forecasts into financial planning and business forecasting processes.
• Identify leading indicators, emerging trends and potential portfolio risks before they impact performance.
• Deliver commercial insights and recommendations that support growth, profitability and risk management objectives.
• Analyse portfolio performance across customer segments, industries and acquisition channels.
• Support the ongoing development of provisioning and expected loss forecasting methodologies.
• Present insights and recommendations to senior stakeholders and executive leadership.
• Help establish and mature a new organisational capability within the business.

Skills

5+ years experience in analytical/coml

Tools

Excel

SQL

R

SAS

Python

Job description

Senior Portfolio Forecasting Analyst

Sydney CBD - 4 days in the office / 1 day from home.

Are you passionate about using data to shape business strategy rather than simply reporting on it?

I am working with a leading Australian lender on a newly created Senior Portfolio Forecasting Analyst position that will play a critical role in shaping the future direction of the business. This is a unique opportunity to establish a new capability within the organisation, sitting at the intersection of Credit Risk, Finance, Strategy and Commercial Analytics.

This role is ideal for someone who enjoys solving complex business problems, forecasting future outcomes and influencing strategic decisions through data-driven insights.

The Opportunity

As a Senior Portfolio Forecasting Analyst, you will be responsible for forecasting how the lending portfolio will evolve over the next 12–24 months and helping the business understand the commercial implications of those changes.

Working closely with senior stakeholders across Risk, Finance, Operations and Product, you'll analyse customer behaviour, portfolio performance, risk trends, channel mix, industry exposures and macroeconomic factors to develop forward-looking insights that support lending strategy, financial planning and sustainable growth.

This is not a traditional reporting role. You'll have the opportunity to build and shape a capability from the ground up, with significant visibility across the organisation and direct influence on strategic decision-making.

Key Responsibilities

• Develop and maintain portfolio forecasting models that project portfolio growth, composition, performance and expected losses.
• Build scenario and sensitivity analyses to assess the impact of changes in credit policy, pricing, channel mix, customer behaviour and economic conditions.
• Partner with Finance to incorporate portfolio forecasts into financial planning and business forecasting processes.
• Identify leading indicators, emerging trends and potential portfolio risks before they impact performance.
• Deliver commercial insights and recommendations that support growth, profitability and risk management objectives.
• Analyse portfolio performance across customer segments, industries and acquisition channels.
• Support the ongoing development of provisioning and expected loss forecasting methodologies.
• Present insights and recommendations to senior stakeholders and executive leadership.
• Help establish and mature a new organisational capability within the business.

About You

To be successful, you'll bring:

• 5+ years' experience in an analytical, commercial or strategic role.
• Experience across stress testing, portfolio-level scenario/sensitivity forecasting, modelling and problem-solving capability.
• Advanced Excel and SQL skills a must.
• Experience with R, SAS, Python or similar analytical tools a big plus.
• The ability to translate complex analysis into practical business recommendations.
• Strong stakeholder management and communication skills.A commercial mindset and genuine curiosity about how businesses grow and manage risk.

Why Join?

• Newly created role with the opportunity to build a capability from the ground up.
• High visibility across the business and exposure to senior leadership.
• Broad role spanning Risk, Finance, Strategy and Commercial Analytics.
• Opportunity to directly influence lending strategy and business performance.
• Collaborative, agile and growth-focused environment.