Senior CPU Forecasting Scientist - Performance & Uncertainty

AMD; Town of Texas (WI); On-site; USD 150,000 - 250,000; Full time

Benefits offered by this job

AMD Benefits

Job summary

AMD is seeking a data scientist and performance engineer to own the quantitative forecasting system behind the CAP team in Austin, TX. You will combine architecture assumptions, workload measurements, software trends, platform data and partner validation into forward-looking predictions with explicit confidence ranges.

You will be accountable for model error, scenario analysis, forecast-versus-actual learning and a clear competitive narrative: where AMD is likely to lead, where it may face risk,

Qualifications

• Demonstrated experience building quantitative models used for technical or business decisions under uncertainty.
• Strong programming and data-analysis skills in Python or an equivalent analytical environment.
• Expertise in defining meaningful error metrics, calibration methods and sensitivity analyses for sparse or biased data.
• Working knowledge of server CPU and system performance and a willingness to engage deeply with architectural causality.
• Experience with reproducible data pipelines, versioning, notebooks or scripts, and source provenance.
• Strong visualization, writing and presentation skills for technical and executive audiences.
• Sound judgment about when a model is useful, when it is overfit and when the available evidence does not support a precise conclusion.
• CPU or GPU performance prediction, pre-silicon modeling, capacity planning, forecasting or benchmark analytics.
• Bayesian modeling, Monte Carlo simulation, probabilistic programming or uncertainty quantification.

Responsibilities

• Design and maintain a forecasting framework that links CPU architecture, memory, I/O, power, operating-system and runtime behavior, and workload kernels.
• Create performance, performance-per-watt and price-performance forecasts with confidence ranges rather than single-point estimates.
• Build scenarios for uncertain competitor attributes such as frequency, core count, memory bandwidth, software maturity, launch timing and platform power.
• Track prediction error by workload, competitor, forecast horizon and model version; decompose errors and tune the model as measured systems become available.
• Develop normalized competitive scorecards across workload performance, efficiency and TCO, memory and I/O, software ecosystem, deployability and roadmap credibility.
• Fuse benchmark results, performance counters, partner telemetry, public roadmaps, software changes and platform evidence while preserving source provenance.
• Identify leading indicators that materially change the forecast and surface early risk or opportunity signals.
• Partner with architecture and workload leads to design experiments that reduce the most valuable uncertainties.
• Build executive-grade visualizations of deltas, confidence ranges, scenarios, drivers and forecast-versus-actual history.
• Write quarterly forecast narratives and support rapid recalibration when new silicon or material evidence appears.

Skills

Python

Data analysis

Uncertainty modeling

Visualization

Executive communication

Reproducible pipelines

Bayesian modeling

Monte Carlo simulation

Education

Bachelor’s or Master’s in Electrical Engineering

Computer Engineering

Computer Science

Tools

Jupyter Notebooks

Job description

AMD is seeking a data scientist and performance engineer to own the quantitative forecasting system behind the CAP team in Austin, TX. You will combine architecture assumptions, workload measurements, software trends, platform data and partner validation into forward-looking predictions with explicit confidence ranges.

You will be accountable for model error, scenario analysis, forecast-versus-actual learning and a clear competitive narrative: where AMD is likely to lead, where it may face risk,