Senior Business Manager - Card Loss Forecast and Allowance

Capital One; Chicago (IL); On-site; USD 183,000 - 208,000; Full time

Job summary

Capital One seeks a Senior Business Manager for Card Loss Forecast and Allowance to drive strategic analysis and quarterly forecasting that informs earnings and reserves. You will lead a team of analysts and partner with Accounting, Finance and Risk to build robust loss forecasts and financial plans.

The role blends analytics, leadership, and cross-functional collaboration in a high-visibility environment, with opportunities to influence capital planning and performance monitoring across the

Qualifications

• Bachelor’s Degree required.
• At least 3 years of quantitative analysis experience.
• At least 3 years of qualitative analysis experience.
• At least 1 year of people management experience.
• At least 1 year of project management experience.

Responsibilities

• Strategic leadership to drive growth, profitability, and competitive success for Capital One.
• Ownership mindset with potential P&L accountability for a business segment.
• Manage and develop a team of analysts and mentor across the organization.
• Develop and implement product and pricing strategies for lending products; lead modeling/analytics.
• Coordinate across lines of business to manage and sequence delivery of business intent and governance.

Skills

Quantitative analysis

Qualitative analysis

People management

Project management

Education

Bachelor’s Degree

Master’s Degree in Business or quantitative field

Tools

Financial modeling

Economic forecasting

Job description

Senior Business Manager - Card Loss Forecast and Allowance

About the organization: The Loss Forecasting and Allowance team resides within our Consumer Card Risk Management Organization and is focused on delivering credit loss forecasts to our Consumer Card businesses (US Card, Canada and UK). This ultimately impacts LOB-wide planning and P&L considerations and directly feeds into company wide earnings. The broader team also works on the annual Stress Testing exercise and a variety of credit performance monitoring activities that help keep senior leaders informed on the state of credit. The team environment is collaborative, engaging, and offers ample opportunities for meaningful contributions to the highly visible work we do.

Summary: As a Senior Manager, Business Analysis at Capital One, you will apply your strategic and analytical skills to major company challenges. You will lead and team with world-class professionals to develop and test strategies that ultimately impact the bottom line. And you'll do it all in a collaborative environment that values your insight, encourages you to take on new responsibility, promotes continuous learning, and rewards innovation. This role sits on the Card Allowance team which produces a quarterly expectation for expected lifetime credit losses (i.e. the reserve for loans we expect not to not be repaid, under GAAP accounting standards). This has direct impacts on the consolidated P&L impacts of the business and is frequently discussed in the context of company wide earnings. This work entails analytical rigor, technical savvy, and sound judgement to create forecasts that are ultimately shared by our team to executive level senior stakeholders across the company. In doing so, you will work alongside driven teammates and a variety of cross-functional teams (Accounting/Finance, Capital Risk, firstline business teams, among others) to build out a robust and well-informed product. Additional aspects of this role include managing a team of high-performing associates; 'quarterbacking' of our quarterly process (both within our team and across partner teams) on execution/governance/second-line challenges; being a thought partner in strategic team planning; gaining familiarity with the underlying models and data, engaging with first-line teams and key stakeholders throughout the quarter and identifying areas to improve our processes and forecasts.

General Responsibilities

Strategic leadership: Develop business strategies that will drive growth, profitability, and competitive success for Capital One in the face of shifting consumer and regulatory behavior Business ownership: Have an ownership mindset, and potentially P&L accountability for a business segment. Strategic planning with a 1-6 month horizon Leadership: May manage and develop a team of analysts. Coaching and mentoring associates throughout the organization with a goal of developing and retaining talent at Capital One Product: Develop and implement new product and pricing strategies for various lending products; lead product level modeling/analytics Marketing: Lead direct to consumer marketing efforts for select products, and strategic intent for products distributed through various channels. Build targeted insights to inform the design and development of new customer experiences, as well as breakthrough technology and concepts designed to deliver on new go-to-market strategies Credit Risk: Drive step-change improvements in credit performance by connecting drivers of future consumer credit trends to historical behavior, creating risk models, and testing hypotheses using rigorous monitoring and analysis Execution: Coordinate across the line of business to manage and sequence delivery of business intent, build business requirements and execute against the product strategy. Oversee multiple projects and programs concurrently Partnership: Work closely with colleagues across Capital One including: IT, Sales, Operations, Finance and others to drive improvement in quality, volume, service, and profitability Strategic & analytic orientation: A proven track record of decision making and problem solving based on analytics. Conceptual thinking skills must be complemented by a strong quantitative orientation, given that a large part of the business is based on rigorous analytic marketing & credit risk management Strong business judgment, leadership and integrity: He/she should be a tenacious decision maker, able to bring a healthy, aggressive, yet responsible approach to business Solid people leadership experience: Ability to build and leverage the capabilities of a high-performing team, as well as business partners across the enterprise. He/she should foster innovation, drive critical decisions, hold business partners accountable, and be able to consistently deliver results Strong executive communication skills: Impeccable written and oral communication credentials, coupled with strategic influencing skills and the ability to drive agreement through intellect, interpersonal and negotiation skills Clear results orientation: display an intense focus on achieving both short and long term goals. He/she should be able to drive and execute an agenda in an uncertain and fluid environment Successful track record of thriving in a fast paced, entrepreneurial and dynamic environment.

Basic Qualifications

• Bachelor’s Degree
• At least 3 years of experience performing quantitative analysis
• At least 3 years of experience performing qualitative analysis
• At least 1 year of experience performing people management
• At least 1 year of experience performing project management

Preferred Qualifications

• Master’s Degree in Business or quantitative field such as Finance, Economics, Physical Sciences, Math, Statistics, Engineering
• 5+ years of experience in quantitative analysis
• 5+ years of experience in qualitative analysis
• 2+ years of experience in people management
• 2+ years of experience in product development
• 2+ years of experience in financial modeling
• 2+ years of experience in economic forecasting
• 2+ years of experience in project management

Capital One will consider sponsoring a new qualified applicant for employment authorization for this position.

Chicago, IL: $182,500 - $208,300 for Sr. Business Manager

McLean, VA: $200,700 - $229,100 for Sr. Business Manager

Riverwoods, IL: $182,500 - $208,300 for Sr. Business Manager

This role is also eligible to earn performance based incentive compensation, which may include cash bonus(es) and/or long term incentives (LTI). Incentives could be discretionary or non discretionary depending on the plan.

Capital One offers a comprehensive, competitive, and inclusive set of health, financial and other benefits that support your total well-being.

Learn more at the Capital One Careers website.

This role is expected to accept applications for a minimum of 5 business days.

Capital One is an equal opportunity employer (EOE, including disability/vet) committed to non-discrimination in compliance with applicable federal, state, and local laws.

Capital One promotes a drug-free workplace.

Capital One will consider for employment qualified applicants with a criminal history in a manner consistent with the requirements of applicable laws regarding criminal background inquiries, including, to the extent applicable, Article 23-A of the New York Correction Law; San Francisco, California Police Code Article 49, Sections 4901-4920; New York City’s Fair Chance Act; Philadelphia’s Fair Criminal Records Screening Act; and other applicable federal, state, and local laws and regulations regarding criminal background inquiries.

At Capital One, we’re building a leading information-based technology company. Still founder-led by Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Richard Fairbank, Capital One is on a mission to help our customers succeed by bringing ingenuity, simplicity, and humanity to banking. We measure our efforts by the success our customers enjoy and the advocacy they exhibit.