Research Director, AI Quantitative Modeling

IDC Corporate; Northern (KY); Hybrid; USD 150,000 - 190,000; Full time

Job summary

IDC is seeking a Research Director to develop quantitative models for AI Economics, focusing on AI cost and value modeling with potential to expand into broader forecasting projects.

This is a hands-on quantitative role translating questions into mathematical models, implementing and testing code, and developing reusable methods for colleagues. You’ll contribute to client discussions when needed.

Qualifications

• Advanced quantitative training in mathematics, physics, statistics, operations research, or a closely related discipline, with a strong foundation in probability, statistical inference and numerical methods.
• A track record of independently developing and validating financial, scientific or other quantitative models of complex systems.
• Ability to choose and apply forecasting, simulation or optimization methods with incomplete or noisy data.

Responsibilities

• Design and develop models of complex systems with multiple interacting variables and changing conditions.
• Build AI cost models covering development, deployment and operation.
• Develop models of AI’s economic value, including productivity, cost savings and revenue effects.
• Create forecasts, simulations and scenarios that capture uncertainty and interactions between drivers.
• Identify and combine data from IDC research and other sources with defensible inputs.
• Calibrate and validate models against available evidence and test predictive performance.
• Build reusable, documented research code and workflows with tests and version control.
• Explain methodologies and findings clearly to colleagues and clients.

Skills

Python

Agentic AI tools

Mathematics/Statistics

Forecasting methods

Communication

Learning new domains

Code testing/reproducibility

Education

PhD in quantitative field

Advanced quantitative training

Tools

Python libraries

OpenAI Codex / Claude Code

Job description

Overview

IDC is seeking a Research Director to develop the quantitative models that underpin our AI Economics research. The initial focus will be on modeling the cost and economic value of AI with scope to contribute to a broader range of modeling and forecasting projects as the team’s research develops.

This is a hands-on quantitative research role. You will translate complex questions into mathematical models, implement and test them in code, and develop methods that colleagues can reuse. Most of your time will be spent on model development, empirical analysis and validation, working with IDC’s industry experts. You will also contribute to selected client discussions and presentations where your technical expertise is needed.

Responsibilities

• Design and develop models of complex systems with multiple interacting variables, nonlinear relationships and changing conditions. Frame research questions, select appropriate methods, and make assumptions, dependencies and limitations explicit.
• Build AI cost models covering development, deployment and operation. Separate initial investment from recurring costs, and examine how workload, scale, utilization, technology choices and operating requirements affect total and unit costs over time.
• Develop models of AI’s economic value, including productivity, cost savings and revenue effects. Define baselines, account for adoption and implementation costs, and avoid double counting. Distinguish capacity released from cash savings and forecast benefits from measured results.
• Create forecasts, simulations and scenarios that capture uncertainty and interactions between drivers. Use sensitivity analysis and stress testing to identify which assumptions matter most and where conclusions become unreliable.
• Identify, assess and combine data from IDC research and other relevant sources. Work with subject matter experts to establish defensible inputs, address gaps and separate observed evidence from assumptions.
• Calibrate and validate models against available evidence. Test predictive performance where feasible, compare alternative approaches, investigate errors, and update models as new data becomes available.
• Build reusable, documented research code and workflows with appropriate tests and version control. Use agentic AI to accelerate coding, analysis and experimentation while independently checking the resulting code, methods and conclusions.
• Explain methodologies and findings clearly to research colleagues and, when needed, clients. Contribute quantitative analysis to IDC research outputs and extend the team’s modeling capability into subsequent projects.

Required qualifications

• Advanced quantitative training in mathematics, physics, statistics, operations research, or a closely related discipline, with a strong foundation in probability, statistical inference and numerical methods.
• A track record of independently developing and validating financial, scientific or other quantitative models of complex systems. Experience should demonstrate how models were used to support forecasts, decisions or practical research outcomes.
• Ability to choose and apply appropriate forecasting, simulation or optimization methods, explain their assumptions, and work with incomplete or noisy data without overstating the precision of results.
• Strong scientific programming skills, preferably in Python, and experience translating mathematical ideas into working, testable code. Ability to develop reproducible analyses and work confidently with numerical libraries and structured data.
• Current, regular use of agentic AI tools such as OpenAI Codex, Anthropic Claude Code, or comparable systems in their current role or daily life. Candidates must be able to discuss concrete workflows and explain how they verify generated code and analytical outputs.
• Ability to learn unfamiliar technical and economic domains, challenge assumptions constructively, and work with subject matter experts to connect models with the systems they represent.
• Clear written and verbal communication, including the ability to explain model logic, uncertainty and limitations to colleagues who do not share your mathematical background.

Preferred qualifications

• A PhD in mathematics, physics, statistics, operations research, or another relevant quantitative field is strongly preferred. Equivalent depth of research expertise demonstrated through applied work will also be considered.
• Experience in quantitative research or model development at a hedge fund, investment bank, asset manager, or a comparable analytical environment. Relevant backgrounds also include scientific research and industrial modeling.
• Experience developing models of costs, investment returns, productivity or economic impact, or turning research methods into reusable analytical tools.
• Deep prior expertise in the technology industry or a particular customer sector is not required. Intellectual curiosity and the ability to learn the economics and technical characteristics of AI are essential.

Why This Role Stands Out

At IDC, your work helps shape how the world understands technology and where it goes next. You collaborate with curious, high-caliber colleagues who value rigor, integrity, and shared success. As the premier global provider of trusted technology intelligence, IDC equips business and technology leaders with the evidence they need to make confident decisions. Our insights inform strategy, investment, and innovation across industries and regions.

Recognized by IIAR as Analyst Firm of the Year for five consecutive years, IDC sets the standard for credibility and impact. With more than 1,000 analysts worldwide and a truly global perspective, we combine deep expertise with practical relevance. Here, your ideas matter, your voice is heard, and your contributions provide the insights leaders rely on every day. It is meaningful work, backed by a culture that supports growth, collaboration, and long-term career development with a globally respected brand.

Compensation Transparency

At IDC, we are committed to fair and equitable pay practices. Employees are compensated equitably for their work, aligned with their skills and experience. Salary and incentive structures are determined through a rigorous process that considers experience, education, certifications, role-specific requirements, internal equity, and verified U.S. market data from an independent third-party partner.

The expected total annual compensation, depending on location and experience, is between $150,000-$190,000, inclusive of base salary and variable compensation.

Equal Opportunity Employer

IDC is committed to providing equal employment opportunities for all qualified persons. Employment eligibility verification required. We participate in E-Verify.

IDC is currently able to employ remote workers in the following states: Arizona (AZ), California (CA), Colorado (CO), Connecticut (CT), Washington D.C. (DC), Florida (FL), Georgia (GA), Illinois (IL), Indiana (IN), Kansas (KS), Massachusetts (MA), Maryland (MD), Maine (ME), Michigan (MI), Minnesota (MN), Missouri (MO), Mississippi (MS), North Carolina (NC), New Hampshire (NH), New Jersey (NJ), New York (NY), Ohio (OH), Oregon (OR), Pennsylvania (PA), Rhode Island (RI), South Carolina (SC),