Prediction Markets Trader

Wintermute Trading; New York (NY); On-site; USD 210,000 - 240,000; Full time

Benefits offered by this job

Discretionary bonus

Paid leave

Medical insurance

Office in New York City

Job summary

Wintermute is expanding its Americas team and seeks a hands-on trader with strong Python and quantitative skills to monitor and trade prediction markets in real time. You’ll implement strategies across sports, elections and weather, and help build the greenfield predictions stack while supporting events that may fall evenings or weekends.

The role emphasizes ownership, problem solving, collaboration, and a meritocratic culture, with a base salary and discretionary bonus potential, plus benefits.

Qualifications

• Strong Python skills; 1–3 years of coding experience
• Excellent quantitative and analytical skills; testing will be conducted
• Demonstrated work experience in prediction markets
• Owner mentality; focus on P&L and growing the business
• Love problem solving; willing to trade, code, analyze data and collaborate
• Determined, ambitious yet humble; willing to work hard and learn
• Like meritocracy and being judged by what you deliver
• Enjoy working in a collaborative environment

Responsibilities

• Monitor and trade predictions in real time across Kalshi, Polymarket and other venues
• Implement strategies across categories such as sports, upDown markets, elections and weather
• Be hands-on and improve the entire stack; build the system you want
• Provide coverage for events (evenings or weekends) when market activity peaks
• Wear many hats and contribute across trading, coding, and data analysis

Skills

Quantitative analysis

Owner mentality

Problem solving

Collaborative environment

Ambitious and eager to learn

Meritocratic mindset

Tools

Python

Data analysis

Job description

About Wintermute

Wintermute is one of the largest algorithmic trading companies in digital assets. We provide liquidity algorithmically across all major cryptocurrency exchanges and trading platforms, a broad range of OTC trading solutions as well as support high profile blockchain projects and traditional financial institutions moving into crypto. Wintermute is not just a trading company, it is one the most prominent and influential players in the digital asset markets: we are connected and partnering with all major players in the industry, we actively participate in the development of the blockchain ecosystem through investments, partnerships, and incubation of projects. You can read more here.

Working at Wintermute

Wintermute is a global company with offices in London and Singapore. It opened its US office in early 2025 and it is set to grow significantly over the next several years. It's a unique opportunity to play a role in the early rapid expansion of Wintermute Americas.

What will you work on

You will be responsible for monitoring and trading prediction markets in real time across Kalshi, Polymarket and other venues; implementing strategies across categories such as sports, upDown markets, elections and weather. You will be hands-on, improving the whole stack. Predictions is a greenfield project within Wintermute and you will have lots of freedom to build the system you want. You will have to wear many hats and provide coverage for key events, for example major sports games where market activity is heightened, and can fall on evenings or weekends.

Hard Skills Requirements

• Strong Python skills - you have 1-3 years of experience coding in Python, be that through work, study or personal project experience - we will test!

• Excellent quantitative and analytical skills - we will test!

• Demonstrated work experience in prediction markets - you are engaged in the space (personal trading, following major developments, contributing to discussions, etc.)

• Have an owner mentality - you focus on the ultimate result - P&L for the company and strategically growing the business and Wintermute partnerships.

• Love problem solving, and love seeing your products work; you do whatever it takes to do what’s needed (trading, coding, analysing data, collaborating).

• Determined, ambitious yet humble, willing to work hard and learn on the way.

• Like meritocracy and being judged by what you deliver.

• Like working in a collaborative environment.

Here is why you should join our dynamic team

• Opportunity to work at the world's leading algorithmic trading firm in digital assets.

• Engaging projects offering accelerated responsibilities and ownership growth compared to traditional finance environments.

• A vibrant working culture with team events, celebrations and company wide team building events.

• A cool office in the heart of New York City which often hosts some of the leading industry events.

• For those based in Hong Kong, the role will be remote, but we would like some flexibility for occasional travel to Wintermute offices.

• Great company culture: informal, non-hierarchical, ambitious, highly professional yet with a startup vibe, collaborative and entrepreneurial.

• A performance-based compensation with a significant earning upside.

• The base salary range for this role is $210,000 - $240,000. Base salary is only one component of total compensation; all full-time, permanent positions are eligible for a discretionary bonus and benefits, including paid leave and medical insurance.