GPCM Natural Gas Modeling Analyst

Exxon Mobil; Spring (TX); Hybrid; USD 120,000 - 180,000; Full time

Benefits offered by this job

Pension Plan

Savings Plan

Workplace Flexibility

Comprehensive medical, dental, and eye

Job summary

ExxonMobil is seeking an analyst to support North American natural gas trading and asset optimization. You will develop GPCM-based models, analyze regional market balances, and provide quantitative insights to trading and commercial teams.

The role requires strong modeling skills, experience with Python/SQL, and the ability to deliver concise market commentary and actionable trade ideas in a fast-paced environment.

Qualifications

• Bachelor's, Master's, or PhD in Engineering, Economics, Mathematics, Statistics, OR Operations Research or related quantitative discipline.
• Hands-on experience using Gas Pipeline Competition Model (GPCM) for North American natural gas market analysis and decision support.
• Strong understanding of North American natural gas markets, storage dynamics, pipeline operations, and regional basis relationships.
• Experience building market balance, supply/demand, and forecasting models.
• Ability to translate analytical outputs into actionable commercial insights and trading recommendations.
• Familiarity with LNG, power markets, cross-commodity relationships, and asset optimization.

Responsibilities

• Develop, maintain, and enhance GPCM-based models for NA natural gas market analysis and trading strategies.
• Build supply/demand, flow, and market balance models across major North American regions.
• Analyze pipeline constraints, flows, congestion, and basis markets to identify opportunities.
• Deliver market forecasts and fundamental views to support trading and risk management.
• Support optimization of physical and financial portfolios, including storage strategies and basis optimization.
• Collaborate with traders, originators, structurers, and data teams to translate outputs into insights.
• Evaluate structured natural gas transactions and storage contracts through quantitative analysis.
• Develop Python-based analytical frameworks, data pipelines, and modeling tools.
• Conduct statistical analyses, scenario planning, and back-testing to improve forecast accuracy.

Skills

GPCM modeling

Gas fundamentals

Quantitative analysis

Forecasting

Portfolio optimization

Risk assessment

Communication to stakeholders

Python programming

SQL proficiency

Data analysis

Education

Bachelor's, Master's, or PhD in quantitative field

Tools

Python

NumPy

pandas

SQL

Job description

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At ExxonMobil, our vision is to lead in energy innovations that advance modern living and a net-zero future. As one of the world’s largest publicly traded energy and chemical companies, we are powered by a unique and diverse workforce fueled by the pride in what we do and what we stand for.

The success of our Upstream, Product Solutions and Low Carbon Solutions businesses is the result of the talent, curiosity and drive of our people. They bring solutions every day to optimize our strategy in energy, chemicals, lubricants and lower-emissions technologies.

We invite you to bring your ideas to ExxonMobil to help create sustainable solutions that improve quality of life and meet society’s evolving needs. Learn more about our What and our Why and how we canwork together .

What role you will play in our team

If successful, you will be an integral part of our Global Trading Analytics organization, supporting North American natural gas trading, asset optimization, portfolio strategy, and structured commercial activity. We are seeking a highly motivated analyst with deep expertise in natural gas fundamentals, quantitative modeling, and GPCM (Gas Pipeline Competition Model) to develop and enhance analytical frameworks, market models, and decision-support tools that enable informed commercial and trading decisions.

In this role, you will work closely with traders, originators, structurers, quantitative analysts, and risk professionals to support growth across our natural gas business. You will leverage GPCM as a core modeling platform to evaluate market fundamentals, regional balances, pipeline flows, storage dynamics, basis relationships, and commercial opportunities. You will contribute to the development of scalable state-of-the-art analytical solutions that support portfolio optimization, trading strategy development, and commercial decision-making in a dynamic market environment.

What you will do

• Develop, maintain, and enhance GPCM-based models supporting North American natural gas market analysis, trading, asset optimization, and commercial strategy.
• Build and maintain natural gas supply and demand models incorporating production, pipeline flows, LNG exports, industrial demand, power generation demand, residential/commercial consumption, and storage dynamics.
• Develop regional and basin-level market balance views across key North American markets including Henry Hub, Permian, Northeast, Midcontinent, Gulf Coast, Western Canada, and other major trading hubs.
• Analyze pipeline constraints, transportation capacity utilization, flow dynamics, congestion events, and basis market behavior to identify commercial and trading opportunities.
• Deliver short-, medium-, and long-term market forecasts and fundamental views that support trading strategies, portfolio positioning, and risk management decisions.
• Support optimization of physical and financial portfolios, including storage injection and withdrawal strategies, transportation capacity utilization, basis optimization, and contractual optionality.
• Partner closely with traders, originators, and structurers to translate market fundamentals and modeling outputs into actionable commercial insights, trade ideas, and positioning recommendations.
• Evaluate structured natural gas transactions, transportation agreements, storage contracts, and other commercial opportunities through quantitative and fundamental analysis.
• Build and maintain Python-based analytical frameworks, data pipelines, and modeling tools that improve scalability, transparency, and efficiency of market analysis.
• Conduct statistical analysis, scenario analysis, sensitivity testing, and forecasting exercises to assess market risks and opportunities.
• Evaluate model performance through validation, back-testing, and continuous enhancement to improve forecast accuracy and commercial value.
• Collaborate with data engineering teams, quantitative analysts, and global trading organizations to develop robust, scalable, and production-ready analytical solutions.
• Produce clear and concise market commentary, presentations, and analytical reports that communicate complex market dynamics and modeling outputs to commercial stakeholders.

What you bring

• Bachelor's, Master's, or PhD degree in Engineering, Economics, Mathematics, Statistics, Operations Research, Energy Systems, Finance, or a related quantitative discipline.
• Hands-on experience utilizing GPCM (Gas Pipeline Competition Model) for North American natural gas market analysis, forecasting, and commercial decision support.
• Strong understanding of North American natural gas markets, including supply and demand fundamentals, storage dynamics, pipeline operations, transportation markets, and regional basis relationships.
• Experience building and maintaining market balance models, supply and demand models, flow models, forecasting frameworks, and fundamental market analysis tools.
• Demonstrated ability to develop market views and translate analytical outputs into actionable commercial insights, trading recommendations, and portfolio strategies.
• Strong understanding of natural gas transportation economics, storage economics, basis markets, arbitrage opportunities, and physical asset optimization.
• Experience integrating and analyzing large datasets, including weather data, pipeline flow data, storage data, production data, market pricing data, and forward curve information.
• Proficiency in Python and experience with quantitative analysis libraries such as pandas, NumPy, and related data science toolsets.
• Strong SQL skills and experience working with large-scale datasets, data pipelines, and database environments.
• Experience conducting statistical analysis, time-series analysis, scenario modeling, forecasting, and sensitivity analysis.
• Ability to communicate complex quantitative and market concepts effectively to both technical and commercial stakeholders.
• Demonstrated ability to work collaboratively in a fast-paced commercial and trading environment while managing multiple priorities.

Preferred Qualifications

• Advanced degree in a quantitative, engineering, economics, or energy-related discipline.
• Extensive experience applying GPCM modeling within a natural gas trading organization, energy company, consulting firm, or market analytics organization.
• Experience supporting natural gas trading, marketing, origination, asset optimization, or commercial strategy functions.
• Knowledge of LNG markets, power markets, renewable generation impacts, and cross-commodity market relationships.
• Experience evaluating storage assets, transportation portfolios, basis optimization strategies, and structured natural gas transactions.
• Familiarity with machine learning techniques, advanced forecasting methodologies, and quantitative analytics frameworks.
• Experience with cloud-based analytics platforms, modern data architectures, and large-scale data processing environments.
• Familiarity with software engineering best practices including version control, testing, documentation, and model deployment.

An ExxonMobil career is one designed to last. Our commitment to you runs deep: our employees grow personally and professionally, with benefits built on our core categories of health, security, finance, and life.

We offer you:

• Pension Plan: Enrollment is automatic and at no cost to you. The basic benefit is a monthly annuity to be paid to you in retirement for the rest of your life
• Savings Plan: You can contribute between 6% and 20% of your pay and are encouraged to enroll right away. If you contribute at least 6% to your savings plan, the Company will contribute a 7% match
• Workplace Flexibility: We have several programs such as “Flex your Day”, providing ad-hoc flexibility around when and where you work, as well as longer-term programs such as leaves of absence and part-time work
• Comprehensive medical, dental, and vision plans
• Culture of Health: Programs and resources to support your wellbeing
• Employee Health Advisory Program: Provides confidential professional counseling for you and your family, including tools and resources promoting mental health and resiliency at no additional cost to you
• Disability Plan: Income replacement for when you cannot work due to illness or injury occurring on or off the job. Enrollment is automatic and at no cost to you

Please note benefits may be changed from time to time without notice, subject to applicable law.

Nothing herein is intended to override the corporate separateness of local entities. Working relationships discussed herein do not necessarily represent a reporting connection, but may reflect a functional guidance, stewardship, or service relationship.

Exxon Mobil Corporation has numerous affiliates, many with names that include ExxonMobil, Exxon, Esso and Mobil. For convenience and simplicity, those terms and terms like corporation, company, our, we and its are sometimes used as abbreviated references to specific affiliates or affiliate groups. Abbreviated references describing global or regional operational organizations and global or regional business lines are also sometimes used for convenience and simplicity. Similarly, ExxonMobil has business relationships with thousands of customers, suppliers, governments, and others. For convenience and simplicity, words like venture, joint venture, partnership, co-venturer, and partner are used to indicate business relationships involving common activities and interests, and those words may not indicate precise legal relationships.