Forecasting Analyst (Research Analyst 4)

Department of Consumer & Business Services; Salem (VA); On-site; USD 70,000 - 108,000; Full time

Benefits offered by this job

11 paid holidays

Competitive benefits package

Possible Public Service Loan Forgiven​

Advancement and learning opportunities

Job summary

The Oregon Department of Consumer & Business Services seeks an experienced Forecasting Analyst to lead major research studies, including actuarial and financial analyses and econometric forecasting. You will design, implement and evaluate complex forecasting methodologies and apply advanced analytical techniques, then interpret reports for agency leadership.

The role requires strong data analysis, government finance insight, and clear communication with diverse audiences.

Qualifications

• Bachelor's degree in any discipline with six-quarter units in statistics or quantitative analysis and three years of data analysis experience.
• Or five years of research experience with data analysis and coordination of complex projects.

Responsibilities

• Lead major research studies including actuarial and financial analyses and econometric forecasting.
• Design, implement, and evaluate forecasting methodologies and apply advanced analytical concepts.
• Analyze data and prepare interpretative statistical reports for agency leadership.

Skills

Experience in government finance

Data analysis

Verbal and written communication

Economic and labor market information

Statistical software

Econometric models

Finance and government knowledge

Time-series forecasting

Forecasting techniques

Programming languages

Micro and macroeconomics

Economic forecasting

Education

Bachelor's degree with statistics or quantitative analysis

Tools

Statistical software

Job description

Initial Posting Date: 10/30/2026 Application Deadline: 11/16/2026 Agency: Department of Consumer & Business Services Salary Range: $6,276 - $9,644 Position Type: Employee

*Note: this position will receive a Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA) increase of 4% which is not reflected in the salary listed in this posting. The effective date of the increase is January 1, 2027 and will be paid in the February 1, 2027 paycheck.

Our mission... To equitably protect and empower consumers and workers while maintaining a predictable yet innovative regulatory environment for the businesses we regulate. The Department of Consumer and Business Services (DCBS) is a progressive business regulatory state agency dedicated to the mission of protecting and serving Oregon's consumers and workers while supporting a positive business climate. The department administers state laws and rules governing workers' compensation, occupational safety and health, financial institutions, insurance companies and building codes. The department has consumer protection and education programs, offices, and ombuds to help consumers, injured workers, and businesses.

This position is with the Central Services Division (CSD). CSD is responsible for providing accounting, budgeting, collections, procurement, facilities management, information technology, human resources, and research services to the department.

This position is represented by the Service Employees International Union (SEIU).

What’s in it for you:

Rewarding work in a productive and creative environment

Colleagues who are passionate about public service

Work/life balance, 11 paid holidays a year, and a competitive benefits package

Advancement and learning opportunities that will help grow your career with the State of Oregon

Possible eligibility for the Public Service Loan Forgiveness Program

Here’s what you will do:

As a Forecasting Analyst, you will serve as the project leader on major research studies including actuarial and financial analyses, and econometric forecasting. You will be responsible for designing, implementing and evaluating complex research and forecasting methodologies and applying complex analytical and forecasting techniques and concepts to major research studies, and statistical and fiscal projects. You will also analyze data and prepare comprehensive interpretative statistical reports and consult with agency leadership to interpret and explain reports.

Minimum Qualifications:

A bachelor's degree in any disciplines that included six-quarter units in statistics or quantitative analysis methods and procedures, and three years of experience using computerized applications to independently gather, compile, and analyze data and prepare narrative or statistical reports. Two of the three years must have included coordinating complex research projects.

OR Five years of research experience using computerized applications to independently gather, compile, and analyze data and prepare narrative or statistical reports. Two of the five years must have included coordinating complex research projects.

Requested Skills:

Experience in government finance

Ability to gather, compile, and analyze data, and present findings in tabular, graphic, or narrative form

Strong verbal and written communication skills for diverse audiences

Skill in locating and interpreting economic and labor market information

Proficiency with statistical software to clean, tabulate, and simulate data, and to develop econometric models

General knowledge of finance and government

Extensive knowledge of:

Time-series forecasting or data analysis

Forecasting techniques, research design, and computer applications and programming languages

Principles and theories of micro and macroeconomics, comparative economic systems, regulatory and consumer factors on economic markets, cost/benefit analysis, and economic forecasting and evaluation

Local, regional, national and international economic issues

Per the Pay Equity Law passed in 2017, an employee pay assessment will be conducted to determine what pay step the successful candidate will be offered. The assessment will be based on the relevant experience, education, training, and certifications documented in the application materials. On average, candidates new to state service will most likely be offered compensation in the lower to mid-level of the salary range. The salary range listed is the non-PERS eligible rate. If you are already a participating PERS member or once you become PERS eligible after 6 months of employment, the salary range will increase by 6.95% and the required 6% employee retirement contribution will be deducted from your pay.

This position is subject to a fingerprint background check for any convictions directly related to its duties and responsibilities. Only job-related convictions will be considered and will not automatically disqualify the candidate.

The State of Oregon does not request or require your age, date of birth, attendance or graduation dates from an educational institution during the application process. This information may be required after the interview process, depending on the requirements of the position.

Eligible veterans and Oregon National Guard servicemembers (current and former) who meet the qualifications of the position will be awarded candidate preference.

Ven

DCBS will use E-Verify to confirm that you are authorized to work in the United States.

Helpful links and contact information:

Learn more about DCBS

DCBS Career Fairs and Workshops

Understanding the State Application Process

Help and Support webpage

For more information you may contact us by e‑mail at [e-mail].

DCBS is fully committed to attracting, retaining, developing, and promoting the most qualified candidates without regard to their race, gender, color, religion, sexual orientation, national origin, age, physical or mental disability, or veteran status. For more information, please visit our diversity, equity, inclusion and belonging webpage.

Oregon state government is a large organization by nearly any standard. With over 40,000 employees working all over the state, in small communities and large, we are proving that government can be innovative. We work as a team, challenging ourselves to be better, faster and more efficient with taxpayer dollars. After all, when every day we are responsible for caring for the needs of a diverse population and thriving business community, we simply must have the best and brightest workforce.

If you take responsibility for your actions, are passionate about helping others succeed, and have a reputation for excellence and honesty, why not make Oregon state government your next career move?

Joining our team means you open the door to many possibilities. From entry level to executive, outdoor work to policy setting, we have a role for nearly every calling, expertise and background.

If you’re looking at us from across the country (or beyond!), know that Oregon is one of the most beautiful places on earth. Made up of seven diverse regions, Oregon has the ocean, mountains, valleys, high desert, cities, small towns, and almost everything in between. Oregon “flies with her own wings.”