Deterrence Analyst (Senior)

Strategic Alliance Business Group (SABG); Bellevue Second IV Precinct (NE); On-site; USD 120,000 - 180,000; Full time

Job summary

SABG seeks a Deterrence Analyst (Senior) to support USSTRATCOM/J57 deterrence planning and assessment under SWRDS. The role involves advisory services across deterrence analysis, mission analysis, strategy development, planning, research, and assessment, with emphasis on adversary perceptions and multi-adversary deterrence.

Based at USSTRATCOM Offutt AFB in Nebraska, the position requires TS clearance eligibility and extensive experience in deterrence theory, wargaming, and scenario development;

Qualifications

• Master's degree (or higher) in Political Science, International Relations, Economics, STEM, or a related national security degree.
• Demonstrated knowledge of deterrence theory and deterrence models.
• Experience with game theory and strategic deterrence concepts.

Responsibilities

• Assist in war game development and execution, including scenario development, analysis support to wargaming, and identification and tracking of lessons learned.
• Author professional war game reports documenting analysis, findings, and outcomes.
• Provide scenario-based deterrence analysis to war gaming activities designed to test USSTRATCOM OPLAN/CONPLAN deterrence actions.
• Provide scenario-based deterrence assessments to war gaming activities evaluating OPLAN/CONPLAN integration with other actions.
• Conduct hypothesis-based Deterrence Impact Analysis to test deterrence assumptions in experimentation.
• Develop tools to display visualizations of scenarios including modeling and simulation outputs.
• Provide wargame expertise relating to the operation of the U.S. Government and decision-making processes.
• Identify and synthesize lessons learned from wargames and experiments into analytic reports.

Skills

Deterrence theory

Game theory

Wargaming analysis

Analytic reporting

Strategic deterrence

Education

Master's degree or higher in Political Science/IR/Economics/STEM

Tools

AI-enabled analytic tools

Job description

Brief Description

SABG is hiring a full-time Deterrence Analyst (Senior) to support USSTRATCOM/J57 deterrence planning and assessment efforts under the Strategic Wargaming and Research of Deterrence Support (SWRDS) requirement. The Deterrence Analyst (Senior) will provide advisory and assistance services supporting deterrence analysis, mission analysis, strategy development, planning, research, and assessment. The position will analyze adversary perceptions and decision-making, advance deterrence thinking for a changing security environment including simultaneous deterrence of two nuclear peer adversaries, support development of deterrence courses of action, and assess deterrence campaign impacts and risks of strategic deterrence failure. The analyst will also help maintain end-to-end deterrence impact analysis capabilities, refine analytic methods and strategic deterrence concepts, and support scenario-based deterrence analysis, wargaming, experimentation, and USSTRATCOM analytic priorities as required. This position is contingent upon contract award.

JOB TITLE

Deterrence Analyst (Senior)

CLEARANCE

Top Secret (TS) with eligibility for Sensitive Compartmented Information (SCI), Nuclear Command and Control (NC2), and Special Access Programs (SAP) accesses

LOCATION

USSTRATCOM, Offutt AFB, NE

Responsibilities

• Assist in war game development and execution, including scenario development, analysis support to wargaming, and identification and tracking of lessons learned.
• Author professional war game reports documenting analysis, findings, and outcomes.
• Provide scenario-based deterrence analysis to war gaming activities designed to test USSTRATCOM Operational Plan (OPLAN) and Contingency Plan (CONPLAN) deterrence actions.
• Provide scenario-based deterrence assessments to war gaming activities evaluating USSTRATCOM OPLAN/CONPLAN integration with other OPLAN/CONPLAN actions.
• Conduct hypothesis-based Deterrence Impact Analysis to test deterrence assumptions in experimentation.
• Develop/create tools to effectively and professionally display visualizations of scenarios including modeling and simulation outputs.
• Provide wargame expertise relating to the operation of the U.S. Government, including perspectives emulating the decision-making of apolitical U.S. elected officials and the U.S. relationship with allies and adversaries.
• Identify, capture, and synthesize lessons learned from wargames and experiments, producing high-quality analytic reports and written documentation.
• Prepare trip reports, technical reports, and presentation materials documenting wargame results, analysis, and travel in accordance with contract deliverable requirements.

Education And Experience

At a minimum, the ideal candidate will meet the following experience requirements (candidates that exceed these requirements are strongly preferred):

• Minimum of 12 years of academic experience in, or demonstrated working knowledge of at least 10 years working in, U.S. defense policy, strategy, or plans related to strategic deterrence.
• Master's degree (or higher) in Political Science, International Relations, Economics, Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics (STEM), or a related national security degree.
• Demonstrated knowledge in deterrence theory, deterrence models and deterrence strategy.
• Demonstrated knowledge of historical US deterrence strategies, models, their defining characteristics, and successes.
• Demonstrated knowledge of game theory.
• Demonstrated knowledge of strategic military strategy, planning, operations and the nuclear enterprise.
• Demonstrated knowledge of the current strategic threat environment.
• Recent publication, within the past 5-10 years in strategic studies, deterrence or related nuclear matters.

SUPERVISION

This position will support USSTRATCOM/J57 and may coordinate with Government personnel, the Intelligence Community, outside experts, other agencies, practitioners, academics, and other stakeholders in support of deterrence analysis, planning, research, and assessment activities.

Additional Qualifications

• Prior direct experience supporting USSTRATCOM, another Combatant Command, Joint Staff, or an equivalent national security organization on wargaming or deterrence issues.
• Experience collaborating with deterrence analysis efforts supporting mission analysis, courses of action development, or deterrence impact assessment.
• Experience with allied burden-sharing analysis or assessment of allied contributions to collective deterrence.
• Familiarity with emerging AI-enabled analytic or visualization tools and their application to wargame execution and decision-support products.
• Experience supporting strategic deterrence education initiatives or engagements with JPME-accredited institutions and service academies.

SYSTEM KNOWLEDGE

Proficiency with Government-provided classified and unclassified workstations, networks, and standard office/collaboration applications required to research, analyze, prepare, and present deterrence products.

LANGUAGE SKILLS

Ability to read, analyze, synthesize, and interpret complex defense policy, strategy, plans, intelligence-informed analytic material, research, and strategic deterrence concepts. Ability to prepare technically correct, logically organized, publication-ready reports, briefings, summaries, planning documents, and supporting materials for Government and senior-leader audiences.

MATHEMATICAL SKILLS

Ability to apply game theory, structured analytic methods, and qualitative and quantitative reasoning to deterrence analysis, assessment, modeling, and evaluation of deterrent effects.

REASONING ABILITY

Ability to assess adversary perceptions and decision-making; analyze deterrence problems involving multiple adversaries; develop and evaluate deterrence courses of action; identify analytic lessons; and translate complex findings into decision-support products aligned with USSTRATCOM planning requirements.

TRAVEL REQUIREMENTS

CONUS and OCONUS travel may be required in support of task order activities. Contractor personnel may be required to travel as passengers on military transportation into non-hostile areas. All travel is subject to Government approval and applicable Joint Travel Regulation requirements.

Security Requirements

• Must be a U.S. citizen
• Must possess, at task order award or before commencement of work/replacement approval, a Top Secret (TS) security clearance with eligibility for SCI, NC2, and SAP accesses
• Must comply with the task order DD Form 254 and all applicable USSTRATCOM security instructions, including cybersecurity and physical security requirements
• Must comply with USSTRATCOM in-processing/out-processing procedures and applicable Privacy Act and nondisclosure requirements

PHYSICAL DEMANDS

The physical demands described here are representative of those that must be met by an employee to successfully perform the essential functions of this job. Reasonable accommodations will be made to enable individuals with disabilities to perform the essential functions. While performing the duties of this job, the employee is regularly required to sit, talk, and hear. The employee is regularly required to write and type on computers for intelligence analysis and product preparation. The employee is frequently required to walk and travel to various facilities for meetings and coordination. The employee may be required to work extended hours during exercises, crisis response operations, and short-notice production deadlines. Specific vision abilities required include close vision for detailed intelligence analysis.

WORK ENVIRONMENT

Work is primarily performed at USSTRATCOM, Building 1000, Offutt AFB, Nebraska, with access to classified and unclassified Government facilities, systems, and networks. Off-site or remote work may be authorized by the Government for situational conditions. Personnel must provide exercise and contingency support and complete required annual training to maintain necessary access and certifications.

FOR OUR SERVICE MEMBERS AND VETERANS

SABG values the service Veterans and their family members have given to our country and we support the hiring of returning Service Members and military spouses. If you are a Veteran or wounded warrior and would like assistance with the employment process at SABG, please contact our Recruiting team at [e-mail].

FOR PERSONS WITH DISABILITIES

If you are a person with a disability or a disabled Veteran and are applying for a job with SABG, we would like to ensure your application process goes as smoothly as possible. If because of a medical condition or disability, you need a reasonable accommodation for any part of the employment process please contact our Recruiting team at [e-mail] and let us know the nature of your request and your contact information.

SABG is an Equal Opportunity/Affirmative Employer

Minorities/Women/Veterans/Disabled