Principal Transport Modeller

Department for Transport (DfT), United Kingdom; Birmingham; Hybrid; GBP 40,000 - 50,000; Full time

Benefits offered by this job

Employer pension contribution of 28.97%

25 days annual leave

8 Bank Holidays plus a Privilege Day

Staff discount portal access

Career development opportunities

Diverse workforce with staff communities

24-hour Employee Assistance Programme

Flexible working options

Job summary

A government department in the UK is seeking a candidate to lead the production of forecasts related to passenger traffic and CO₂ emissions in aviation. This role involves managing analytical models and collaborating with stakeholders to inform policy decisions. Successful candidates will have experience with analytical modeling and presentation skills. Additional benefits include generous leave, employer pension contributions, and flexible working options.

Qualifications

• Experience in working on and improving analytical and transport models.
• Ability to present complex analysis visually to varied audiences.
• Experience in liaising with external stakeholders on modelling projects.

Responsibilities

• Manage the National Airport Passenger Allocation Model and CO₂ Model.
• Run and interpret carbon-emission forecasts for aviation policy.
• Respond to analytical queries from stakeholders.

Skills

Analytical models

Stakeholder engagement

Complex analysis presentation

Job description

🕒 Contract Type: Permanent – Flexible working, Full-time, Job share, Part-time

Join the Maritime and Aviation Appraisal and Modelling (MAvAM) team within the AMBA analytical division, working at the heart of key aviation and maritime policy. In this role, you will lead the production of passenger, air traffic and CO₂ emissions forecasts using the Aviation Forecast Model Suite. You’ll collaborate with analytical colleagues and engage with external stakeholders to ensure robust evidence informs departmental decisions. This is an exciting opportunity to work across priority areas including decarbonisation and airport expansion.

Key Responsibilities include, but are not limited to:

• Manage the National Airport Passenger Allocation Model (NAPAM) and the CO₂ Model alongside a G7 colleague in MAvAM.
• Run and interpret carbon‑emission forecasts to inform aviation decarbonisation policy.
• Respond to detailed analytical queries and information requests from a range of stakeholders.

Being part of our brilliant Civil Service means you will have access to a wide range of fantastic benefits:

• Employer pension contribution of 28.97% of your salary. Read more about Civil Service Pensions here
• 25 days annual leave, increasing by 1 day each year of service (up to a maximum of 30 days annual leave).
• 8 Bank Holidays plus an additional Privilege Day to mark the King’s birthday.
• Access to the staff discount portal.
• Excellent career development opportunities and the potential to undertake professional qualifications relevant to your role paid for by the department, such as CIPD, Prince2, apprenticeships, etc.
• Joining a diverse and inclusive workforce with a range of staff communities to support all our colleagues.
• 24-hour Employee Assistance Programme providing free confidential help and advice for staff.
• Flexible working options where we encourage a great work-life balance.

About you

To be successful in this role you will need to have the following experience:

• Can demonstrate knowledge and experience in working on, updating and improving analytical models. It is desirable that you can demonstrate experience working on, updating and improving transport models.
• Experience in explaining and presenting complex analysis to a wide audience, including both technical and the non-technical, including the creation of visualisations. We would look for you to demonstrate transferable skills in this area.
• Can demonstrate successful outcomes of liaising with external stakeholders and other analysts on transport modelling projects.

📅 Apply before 11:55 pm on Tuesday 17th March 2026