Senior Forecasting and Modelling Analyst

Ontario University Athletics; Guelph; On-site; CAD 80,000 - 100,000; Full time

Job summary

A leading educational institution in Guelph, Ontario is seeking a Senior Forecasting and Modelling Analyst to provide analytical leadership that influences key decisions on tuition, enrollment, and funding. This role requires significant autonomy and the ability to effectively communicate complex analyses. The ideal candidate will have extensive experience in financial modeling and hold a relevant degree. Responsibilities include developing forecasting models, tracking funding streams, and engaging with senior management to shape strategic decisions.

Qualifications

• Extensive experience in financial modeling, forecasting, or revenue planning.
• Demonstrated ability to design complex analytical models.
• Exceptional written and verbal communication skills.

Responsibilities

• Forecast tuition and enrollment for a portfolio of colleges.
• Produce concise, executive-ready analysis and recommendations.
• Implement standardized processes for revenue tracking.

Skills

Financial modeling

Forecasting

Analytical tools proficiency

Exceptional communication

Diplomacy

Education

Undergraduate degree in Commerce, Economics, Business or related field

CPA designation

Tools

Excel

Statistical software

Job description

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Senior Forecasting and Modelling Analyst

Location: Guelph, ON, CA, N1G 2W1

Primary Category Page: Staff and Management

Division: Institutional Research and Planning

Requisition ID: 2095

Department: Office of the AVP Institutional Research and Planning
This position is represented by the agreement between the Professional Staff Association and the University of Guelph

If you are a current employee of the University of Guelph you must apply on the internal Career Page in order to be considered as an internal applicant.

General Purpose

The Senior Forecasting & Modelling Analyst is a high-impact role within the Forecasting & Revenue Planning team, providing advanced analytical leadership that informs decisions on tuition, enrollment, and government funding. Reporting to the Director, this position requires significant autonomy, exceptional analytical judgement, and the maturity to operate within a politically sensitive environment. The incumbent regularly informs strategy, frames complex analyses with nuance, and communicates results diplomatically at the senior management level.

As a trusted advisor to central and distributed academic leaders, the Analyst develops and maintains advanced forecasting models, evaluates institutional and unit-level performance, and translates complex data into clear, defensible recommendations. The role also leads the tracking, reconciliation, and accountability reporting of all ministry funding streams.

You will be joining a strategic function at the heart of institutional planning—where your analyses, recommendations, and models will directly shape academic strategy, financial sustainability, and student outcomes. This role offers the opportunity to influence decisions at the highest levels, tackle complex and meaningful challenges, and help build a more transparent and data-informed institution.

Duties and Responsibilities

Advanced Financial and Institutional Modelling and Analysis

• Tuition and enrollment forecasting for a portfolio of colleges, advising academic and financial leaders on program mix, pricing, revenue risk, and enrollment strategy.
• Tailored, time-sensitive analyses and training to stakeholders; interpret enrollment and revenue trends to support unit- and institution-level decisions.
• Tracking and reconciliation of Operating Grants and Transfer Payment Agreements; assess and communicate impacts of government policy and funding changes.
• Develop and refine predictive models for tuition, enrollment, and ministry revenue; conduct scenario and sensitivity analyses for strategic planning.
• Produce concise, executive-ready analysis and recommendations.
• Create and maintain tools and dashboards supporting transparent, accurate revenue forecasting.
• Implement standardized processes for ministry revenue tracking and reconciliation; collaborate with IT, Institutional Research, and Finance to enhance data quality and system integration.

What Makes This Role Distinct

• Independent leadership in high-volume, complex, and time-sensitive analysis.
• Responsibility for designing methodologies for emerging or contentious institutional issues.
• Regular engagement with senior decision-makers, requiring diplomacy, political acuity, and exceptional communication.

Requirements

Education

• Undergraduate degree in Commerce, Economics, Business, or related field (required).
• CPA designation (required) OR a Master’s degree in Business, Economics, Public Policy, or a related discipline.

Experience & Skills

• Extensive experience in financial modeling, forecasting, institutional research, or revenue planning—preferably within a large, multi-stakeholder organization or postsecondary environment.
• Demonstrated ability to design complex analytical models and respond to rapidly evolving data, policy, or funding changes.
• Exceptional written and verbal communication skills, with the ability to translate technical analysis into clear recommendations for senior audiences.
• Strong diplomacy, situational awareness, and the ability to manage sensitive conversations and divergent stakeholder interests.
• High proficiency with analytical tools (e.g., Excel, statistical software, forecasting platforms); experience with enterprise data systems is an asset.
• Proven ability to exercise discretion, handle confidential information, and operate with high professional judgment.

Employee Type: Regular
Position Number: 10925075
Classification: P&M FT- Band 07
Professional/Managerial Salary Bands
The target hiring salary for this position is minimum and up to 96% of midpoint for the salary grade.

*Tentative evaluation; subject to committee review.

At the University of Guelph, fostering a culture of inclusion is an institutional imperative. The University invites and encourages applications from all qualified individuals, including from groups that are traditionally underrepresented in employment, who may contribute to further diversification of our Institution.

Posting Date: 01/23/2026
Closing Date: 02/06/2026